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NFL Football DFS Advice

NFL DFS Week 7 Main Slate Value and Flex Advice for October 23, 2021

Nick Chubb
JACKSONVILLE, FL - NOVEMBER 29: Cleveland Browns Running Back Nick Chubb (24) runs with the ball while breaking a tackle by Jacksonville Jaguars Safety Brandon Watson (40) during the game between the Cleveland Browns and the Jacksonville Jaguars on November 29, 2020 at TIAA Bank Field in Jacksonville, Fl.(Photo by David Rosenblum/Icon Sportswire)

As we are here in week seven, we lose six teams to the byes. The Bills, Steelers, Jaguars, Cowboys, Vikings, and Chargers are all home on the couch, so the value pool has thinned a bit this week. But every team in the NFL has someone coming off the bench to fill in a larger role each week. Thursday night we saw the Browns third string running back D’Ernest Johnson fill in for the injured Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt to rush for 146 yards and a touchdown with two catches for 22 yards, a crushing 24.8 FPTS. NFL DFS is all about opportunity, when someone goes down, who is next up to fill in their shoes? We have your back this week, Let’s dive into the slate.

Dante Pettis ($3,000 DK/$5,200 FD) The New York Giants are practically signing guys off the street to catch the football. With starters Kenny Golladay and Kadarius Toney already ruled out, fellow starters Sterling Shepard and tight end Evan Engram are carrying questionable tags, along with back ups Darius Slayton and John RossPettis is the only healthy body to throw at with any type of experience in the league and should be considered to roster especially on DraftKings where he is at minimum salary.

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Quarterback Value:

Tua Tagovailoa ($5,500 DK/$7,100 FD) Has the Falcons at home, a very quarterback friendly defense who have allowed approximately 250 air yards and two touchdowns per game. Given the rumors of a possible trade deal swirling around with Houston’s Deshaun Watson, expect Tua to come out guns blazing to prove his worth. 

Matt Ryan ($5,700 DK/$7,300 FD) Threw for 342 yards and two touchdowns over the pond against a cushy New York Jets secondary. He has another soft matchup against Miami. His price is still too low especially for this week, the veteran may go off again.

Running Back Value:

J.D. McKissic ($5,000 DK/$5,700 FD) Keep an eye on Washington lead back Antonio Gibson’s injury status. Because he has been playing with a fractured shin all year, he has been unable to finish out games. The Packers allow a whopping 4.5 yards per carry, and with the potential of a negative game script, McKissic may be on the field more often as a pass catcher. Last week against the Chiefs he caught eight of ten targets.

Devonta Freeman ($4,400 DK/$5,700 FD) Baltimore has been brutally beaten up at running back this year from injuries. The latest to go down his week is Latavius Murray. Even though as we all know the main guy to run it is quarterback Lamar Jackson, we can trust Devonta the most for his versatility and usage in the pecking order. There may not be much volume because of the rotation, but he may get another opportunity to get into the end zone if there becomes a goal line situation. Last week he put up 11.3 FPTS. With 53 yards and a touchdown.

Wide Receiver Value:

Rashod Bateman ($3,400 DK/$5,300 FD) Ravens rookie was fresh off IR and peppered with six targets catching four for 29 yards. Not bad for a first start in the offense, and with Sammy Watkins sitting out this week again, he will receive more time on the field with Lamar Jackson.

Tyler Johnson ($3,000 DK/$4,800 FD) We all got the news that one of Tom Brady’s favorite targets will sit this one out this week with an ankle injury. Tampa has named Johnson into the starting lineup already. He may not see as many passes thrown to him as Brown, but at minimum price he should hit value this week.

Tight End Value:

Anthony Firkser ($3,100 DK/$4,900 FD) Last week the Chiefs allowed 15.75 FPTS. to Ricky Seals-Jones of Washington, who was a very low salary and hit 5X value. Tennessee will be hosting K. C. on Sunday with a total of 57.5 over/under and Firkser is sitting in a great spot. The Chiefs continue to not defend the tight end position, and will have a lot more to worry about with Derrick Henry.

Now go and win with your lineup and let us know how you did.

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