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NFL DFS Monday Night Showdown Advice (MIA @ NO) – Week 16

Alvin Kamara DFS
CHARLOTTE, NC - DECEMBER 29: New Orleans Saints Running Back Alvin Kamara (41) celebrates a touchdown during a game between the Carolina Panthers and the New Orleans Saints on December 29, 2019 at the Bank of American Stadium in Charlotte, NC. (Photo by John McCreary/Icon Sportswire)

The Saints will be hosting the Dolphins tonight, in what looks to be a long game in New Orleans, as they have been destroyed at the quarterback position all year long, and now by COVID. Rookie Ian Book will get the start against a Miami defense who have come to life in the second half of the season. The Saints will look to lean heavily on running back Alvin Kamara for offense, but Miami will be ready for him on the defensive end for sure. 

Rookie wide receiver Jaylen Waddle will return from the COVID list tonight, and will look to shine under the bright lights in New Orleans. Miami’s first round pick has established himself as the number one option for quarterback Tua Tagovailoa. Waddle has caught 86 balls for 849 yards and four touchdowns in 13 games this season.

Here’s a look at a Showdown Core (MIA @ NO) -Week 16 (Using DraftKings Values)

Captain  
Flex  
Flex  
FlexA.Kamara$12,200
FlexJ.Waddle$11,600
Flex  

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Captain/MVP:

DeVante Parker ($14,100 DK/$10,500 FD) Had a solid game against the Jets in his return from injury(4-68-1). The Saints are tough to run the ball on, so Miami will need to air it out, and with most of the defensive pressure (Marshon Lattimore) on WaddleParker may get plenty of open looks.

Who to Fade:

Ian Book ($9,000 DK/$12,000 FD) A rookie fourth string quarterback starting in his first career game can get pretty ugly. Of course he can also ball out too, but let’s play it safe and stay clear of him tonight. 

Studs We Like:

Tua Tagovailoa ($10,200 DK/$15,000 FD) We will need to pair the Miami receivers with their QB. Even though he may not have to throw the ball as much tonight, in a single game slate his fantasy production will be needed to cash.

Duke Johnson ($7,200 DK/$11,000 FD) Ran in two touchdowns fresh off the practice squad last week. Miami’s shiny new veteran RB should get more opportunity tonight in what looks to be a very slow paced game.

Marquez Calloway ($7,800 DK/$8,500 FD) is the only healthy receiver on the Saints side of the ball. Now can he get any accurate passes thrown to him, we shall see.

Value Plays:

Miami DST ($4,400 DK Only) Sacks, Interceptions, and fumbles may be on the front for Ian Book. Miami D is priced too low for tonight.

Nick Vannet ($1,500 DK/$7,500 FD) Is the only healthy option at tight end for the Saints. Vannethas proven himself as a viable target catching six passes and a touchdown in the last three games.

Mack Hollins ($200 DK/$6,500 FD) Has caught four touchdowns so far this season. He does not get to see many snaps, but for his minimum price one big catch will pay him off. Preston Williams can be considered too at the same price.

General Strategy: 

With a 37 point total and a fourth stringer QB for the Saints, we can’t really anticipate them to hold up their end in putting points on the board. But New Orleans may be able to keep Miami from scoring too many points on the other side, as Tua was exposed by the Jets last week with a pick six. Using both defenses on DK would be pretty contrarian but could play out as a battle of the punters. Kamara will be the entire offense for the Saints, especially in the passing game, so pick him up. Drafting kickers are a good way to score in these low total games too. You may be left with a lot of salary left over and feel you may need to spend it all, but remember the Buffalo/New England game back in Week 13, where the highest showdown scorers were by defenses, running backs, and kickers. 

Now go and win with your showdown lineup and let us know how you did.

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