Finishing up week six in Tennessee as two heavy hitters in the AFC square off in a primetime matchup as the Bills take on the Titans. Buffalo has been unstoppable on the offensive end and shutdown on defense, manhandling Kansas City on their home turf last week. Derrick Henry has been bulldozing his way up and down the field for Tennessee, who clearly want to run the ball, but may have trouble doing so tonight against a stingy Bills defensive line.
Josh Allen has been having a potential MVP year with already throwing 12 touchdowns and rushing for two, as well as 1,300 yards in the air and 188 on the ground. He is the clear foundation for the Bills offense. As for the Titans, its been all Henry, who has put his team on his back literally, rushing for 640 yards averaging 4.5 yards per carry, and seven touchdowns.
Here’s a look at a Showdown Core (BUF @ TEN) for October 18, 2021 (using DraftKings Values)
Buffalo has been spreading the ball around and has had a very balanced offense compared to last year where it was mainly Allen and Stefon Diggs. Tight end Dawson Knox and veteran wideout Emanuel Sanders have been in the mix for the Bills, and have really kept opposing defenses guessing on who will get the ball. Tennessee will have to throw the ball tonight to keep up with Buffalo, but who will be on the receiving end? Stud receiver A. J. Brown is questionable and has been battling injury all season, which leaves Julio Jones to reign over the receiving core for the Titans.
Here is a look at a Showdown Core (BUF @ TEN) for October 18, 2021 (using FanDuel Values)
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Josh Allen ($19,200 DK/$17,000 FD) Since we have no clue of who will be on the other end of the the football from Allen, with the amount of weapons at his disposal, its safe to place him at the top. He can put up points with his arm and his legs, and he is in a great matchup with an inferior Titans defense, who ranks thirtieth to surrendering fantasy points to the quarterback.
Who to Fade:
Derrick Henry ($11,400 DK/$15,500 FD) The Bills have put opposing running backs in a vise this season, allowing only 78 yards per game. We love Henry, just not tonight, especially at his salary.
Other Studs We Like:
Zack Moss ($7,000 DK/$9,500 FD) Buffalo’s second year tailback has taken over the lead role at the position. He out touched Devin Singletary eleven to six, and was on the field against the Chiefs for 75 percent of the snaps. He’s also been consistent, averaging about 15 FPTS.
Anthony Firkser ($6,000 DK/$6,000 FD) If A. J. Brown does suit up or sits out, Firkser may receive a few extra targets from Tannehill. The Titans tight end has been relatively quiet this season, but may need to be more involved against rhe best defense in the league.
Dawson Knox ($7,600 DK/$9,000 FD) has emerged as one of the top ten tight ends in the league. Last week against the Chiefs he three balls for 117 yards and a touchdown, which puts him at five total for the year.
Value at Flex:
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine ($1,200 DK/$6,500 FD) Starting wideouts A. J. Brown and Julio Jones have not been 100 percent all season. Tennessee has been unloading their bench at the receiver position. Westbrook-Ikhine has been one of the main beneficiaries. In the Titans run first offense he caught nine of fifteen targets for 98 yards and a touchdown for the season, nothing to get excited about, but at his price tag and the projected game script he has the ability to make value tonight.
Josh Reynolds ($400 DK/$7,000 FD) Is another Tennessee receiver in the same boat as Westbrook-Ikhine. The upside is there for a couple catches which would hit value at his low salary.
Cameron Batson ($200 DK/$6,000) Another low end Tennessee receiver for the above scenario. He caught a touchdown pass against Jacksonville while Brown was unavailable that game, who may have his reps capped even if he does start. Batson has huge upside as well tonight.
Buffalo will be dominating this game. Josh Allen is a must start, but the other players to roster will be tricky. Tennessee will need to mix it up if they want to win this game, and not rely on Henry as much, so Tannehill will need to step up big tonight. But with his top receivers hobbling on and off the field it’s a tough task against one of the best defenses in the league. We should focus most of our salary around Allen and his weapons tonight and not so much on the Titans end.
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