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NFL Football DFS Advice

NFL DFS Conference Championship Two Game Slate Advice

Mahomes and Brady
TAMPA, FL - NOVEMBER 29: Tom Brady (12) of the Buccaneers shakes hands with Patrick Mahomes (15) of the Chiefs after the regular season game between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on November 29, 2020 at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida. (Photo by Cliff Welch/Icon Sportswire)

There are four teams left standing for the 2021-22 season, and the winners will be moving on to the big game. Both number one seeds were knocked out last week shockingly. Cincinnati and San Fransisco made the conference championship on game winning field goals, both stepping up their defenses. The Bengals picked off Ryan Tannehill three times and the Niners came up big on Special Teams blocking a punt and running it back in for a touchdown. 

The Chiefs and Rams emerged victorious the following day, which both also went down to wire. Cooper Kupp caught a 50 yard pass in the final 20 seconds of the game to set up a game winning field goal to dethrone Tom Brady and the Bucs. Kupp obliterated Tampa Bay’s defense, catching nine balls for 183 yards and a touchdown.

 But what went down as probably the most intense fourth quarter in NFL postseason history, Pat Mahomes and Josh Allen went toe to toe with the Chiefs winning in overtime 42-36 on a touchdown pass to Travis Kelce.  Mahomes has averaged over 40 fantasy points in the playoffs and is too tough to fade at this point in DFS.

This week will be the last of the season for a full roster/classic style draft for DFS. There will be many similar lineups in our tournaments and cash games, in order to cash we will need those low owned defacto guys in our lineups who at the same time can put up a decent score. Like a Mecole Hardman, who gave you 17 fantasy points with a $3,900 salary on DK. Players with low ownership projections with a high upside is what were looking for on Sunday. 

Here’s a look at a NFL DFS Conference Championship Two Game Slate (Using DraftKings Values)

QBP. Mahomes$7,500
RB  
RB  
WRM. Hardman$4,000
WRC. Kupp$8,800
WR  
TE  
FLEX  
DST  

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Studs We Like:

Quarterbacks:

Joe Burrow ($6,600 DK/$7,500 FD) Cincinnati will have their backs up against the wall facing elimination, and will need Joe once again to lead them to victory with his arm. He threw for 446 yards and four touchdowns in their last meeting this season

Matt Stafford ($6,300 DK/$7,500 FD) You can’t run on the Niners, as they’ve only allowed 3.9 yards per carry on the year and have shut down every back so far in the post season. Stafford will need to carry the load to a SuperBowl with his cannon of an arm which carried them past the Bucs last week.

Fade:

Jimmy Garoppolo ($5,300 DK/$6,200 FD) The Niners are committed to running the football with Eli Mitchell and Deebo SamuelJimmy is just steering the ship, he’s not the engine moving San Francisco into a possible second SiperBowl in three years. 

Running Backs;

Jerrick McKinnon ($5,100 DK/$6,200 FD) He’s been a monster for the Chiefs’ backfield, gobbling up 11 receptions with a touchdown in two games. There’s no reason for them to shy away from his production in the playoffs. 

Cam Akers ($5,000 DK/$6,200 FD) The Niners are like a wall to running backs, but Akers may be used a lot in the passing game. He has taken over the workload at the position touching the ball 24 times last week. If he can hold onto the ball, he may be in line for some catches, like how Aaron Jones of the Packers was utilized in their loss catching for over 100 yards. 

Fade:

Joe Mixon ($6,800 DK/$8,200 FD) Mixon is an awesome back, but with a potential negative game script for the Bengals, they may have to ditch the run game and air it out to keep up with the Chiefs. His increased production has driven up his salary which is not what we may not want to spend up for in this slate

Wide Receiver:

Deebo Samuel ($7,200 DK/$8,400 FD) He is the entire franchise basically. What can’t he do for the Niners’ offense? He scored 60 fantasy points in the two meetings with LA this season, who has yet to figure out how to contain him. 

Tyreek Hill ($7,000 DK/$8,100 FD) He may throw you the “peace sign” if you don’t have him in your DFS lineups. The Cheetah has resurfaced putting up over 30 fantasy points against the Bills last week and shown how his speed has returned and shaken his injuries. 

Ja’Marr Chase ($6,700 DK/$8,000 FD) He’s Burrow’s right hand man, catching for over a hundred yards in the post season. Unless the Chiefs figure out a way to defend him like the shut down Stefon Diggs last week, he may have another 11 catch 266 yard day from their Week 17 matchup. 

Tight End:

Travis Kelce ($6,500 DK/$7,700 FD) He’s the best in the game at his position, enough said. And he has broken his slump of recently, catching eight for 96 and a touchdown. 

Tyler Higbee ($3,700 FD/$5,500 FD) He’s caught three total touchdowns in the two meetings against San Fran this season. At his price tag all we need is one to pay off his salary. 

DST:

San Francisco ($2,800 DK/$4,200 FD) Nick Bosa and the Niner D has been unstoppable in the post season. A game deciding blocked punt won them into the Championship game, in which they also clamped down Aaron Rodgers at home and scored 21 fantasy points. Very cheap on DK too which is weird. 

LA Rams ($3,000 DK/$4,500 FD) Same game, and will also be able to put up some points. Aaron Donald is a beast, if he can get to Jimmy G, especially if offensive lineman Trent Williams can’t play, it can be a horror show for San Fran on offense. 

Value:

Tyler Boyd ($4,200 DK/$5,800 FD) A sneaky and cheaper option for the Bengals receiving core, where Chase and Tee Higgins may see most of the coverage, Boyd can see extra volume. 

Juwan Jennings ($3,200 DK/$4,900 FD) Coach Shannohan  likes him, and his stat sheet can prove it. The Niners’ third string receiver caught six for 94 and two touchdowns against the last meeting with LA. He’s another dark horse this weekend who can potentially be a slate breaker. 

Now go win with our Two Game Slate Advice and let us know how it went. 

Tweet us @FantasyDFSX is a good place for that.

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