The Milwaukee Bucks host the Atlanta Hawks for game two tonight. The Hawks upset the Bucks in game one, and we expect to see Milwaukee with a chip on there shoulder for this one. We have a lot of stars playing in this game, and our two top options are both quite expensive. In consequence, we are going to a stars and scrubs style roster tonight, as we want to play two or three stars in all our lineups. Neither team really looks much better then the other for DFS tonight, so we are going to be taking guys evenly from both sides. Once again the challenge for this slate will be to find value, as our favorite plays are at the top of the slate.
The most popular captain tonight is probably going to be Giannis Antetokounmpo, and for good reason. Antetokounmpo averages almost 10 more FPTS then the next best guy on the slate, and he gives us the safety of an extremely high floor. If you are playing Cash games tonight, there is really nothing to think about here as Antetokounmpo is clearly the captain you want to go to. For tournaments, you can get different but we still like going to Antetokounmpo. It is rare that he is not the top producer on the Bucks, and the Hawks only have one guy who can keep up with him at all. We saw a massive game from Trae Young last time out, so we expect some people are chasing Young with the captain spot. However, we do not expect Young to score 48 real points again, and even in that situation Antetokounmpo’s production was comparable.
We do not have a lot of value plays that feel great tonight. Fortunately, the salary system for DraftKings showdowns is quite forgiving. We can lean on some riskier punt plays as the minimum price is only $1,000. We are getting Solomon Hill at the $1,000 minimum for tonight, which makes it a lot easier to captain Antetokounmpo and roster another two stars. We saw Hill play 20 minutes last game, and he went for 10.75 FPTS. Due to how cheap minimum price guys are on DK, 10 FPTS is fantastic for situations like this. There is some risk that Hill plays less minutes than we saw last game, but we have to take risks on any cheap play that we roster tonight.
Trae Young absolutely stole the show last time out, as he dropped 75.8 FPTS to will the Hawks to a win in game one. Young shot the ball 34 times in over 41 minutes last time out, and he shot it better then we typically saw from him during the Sixers series. As we mentioned a lot of people will likely be chasing the big game from Young, and we do expect him to see a huge opportunity again. However, it is unlikely Young can match his scoring performance, which is why we prefer Antetokounmpo in the captain spot. With that said we still want to roster Young, as no one else on the Hawks compares to his role on offense. If Young has a decent game here, you will likely need him somewhere on your roster.
Here’s a showdown core For DFS Basketball 6/25/21 (using FanDuel Values)
Hill is one of our favorite options for value on DK but over on FanDuel he costs $7.000, so a lot of the appeal is gone. The cheap punt we are looking to on FanDuel is Pat Connaughton tonight. Connaughton is only $7,500 here and he has played over 20 minutes in five straight games. He played 28 minutes last game and we want him at this price if he is going to get that much run again tonight.
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Khris Middleton – ($10,200 DK) In terms of production, we pretty much look at Middleton the same way going into all these showdown slates. He is scoring reliant and will be a guy you want when he has his good shooting nights. Due to the lack of options on a one game slate, we are always looking to Middleton as a third star option behind our superstars. For tonight, it is a tale of two sites for Middleton as he is a lot easier to get to over on FanDuel. On FanDuel he has been priced down after a poor shooting night, and he is the fifth most expensive guy on the slate. Over on DK, Middleton is a little too expensive tonight at this price, as he is significantly pricier than anyone else besides Antetokounmpo and Young.
Jrue Holiday – ($9,400 DK) The roles are pretty much reversed here for Holiday and Middleton. On DraftKings, we prefer to play Holiday over Middleton tonight as he is $800 cheaper. However, Holiday is significantly more expensive than Middleton over on FD, so we prefer Middleton for FanDuel slates. Holiday did have a better shooting night in game one then we saw all last series, so we do really like him going into tonight. We expect Young to be defending him on a decent number of possessions, which is great news for Holiday.
P.J. Tucker – ($3,600 DK) You are never going to be overly excited about getting to Tucker in DFS as he does not do very much on the offensive side of the ball. However, Tucker has played well over 30 minutes in each of the past four games and he is quite cheap on both sites. If Tucker can knock down a few three’s he can prove to be a fantastic value here, and as we said earlier we are going to have to take some risks with the cheap guys.
Clint Capela – ($7,800 DK) We really like Capela here because of how much cheaper he is compared to the secondary studs on Milwaukee. Capela at $2,400 less then Middleton feels like a fantastic pivot, as we know he can have the bigger game. Capela struggled last series but showed some of the production we expect in game one, scoring 44.25 FPTS. Capela has a solid matchup here, and it feels off how many guys are significantly more expensive.
This feels like a natural slate for Cash games, as you do not have to worry about the ownership in captaining Antetokounmpo. If you are playing tournaments, it is going to be a bit more difficult to get different tonight. It can be quite easy to land on a highly owned build by going to the superstars on the slate and whatever value options are getting minutes. One approach to getting a different lineup is to leave some salary on the table if possible. Once again that is only a strategy we would consider in big tournaments.
Go win your lineup and tell us how you did. Twitter (@FantasyDFSX) is a good place for that.
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