We have another three-game contest NBA playoff slate to breakdown for tonight, and we have a lot to talk about for this one. As the playoff series develop, we are beginning to see some storylines evolve as well as the roles that guys are playing for the playoffs. All three games today are vital game threes, so we expect to see some teams going all out here. Once again we are drawn to the studs on this slate, as we have a ton of great spend-up options to choose between. We are going with a balanced lineup here, as we are more drawn to the affordable stars on the slate then the five-digit price tags.
Damian Lillard was our favorite superstar on the last two slates, as he gives us fantastic upside at a much lower cost than the other top end plays. Lillard has been fantastic in the first two games against Denver, scoring 59 and 68.5 FPTS respectively. Lillard has been playing at least 40 minutes a game this series, and he is taking a ton of the usage for Portland. If the Trailblazers are to take the momentum back tonight, we likely see it on the back of a monster performance from Lillard. The price tag on Lillard makes no sense, as he has gotten $100 cheaper since dropping 68.5 FPTS last game. Lillard is only $9,400 here, so we can roster him alongside a few other studs. Lillard has just as good upside as the five-digit price superstars here, but his big games do a lot more for your lineup.
Monte Morris has been back for five games since his injury, and everything is trending in the right direction. The Nuggets have a lot of guys out right now, and a healthy Morris should be in for a big role on this team. We saw Morris play 30 minutes last game and score 29.25 FPTS. He appears to be getting his minutes back and we expect to see him play around 30 minutes or more tonight. Morris is still only $4,200 here, so we have a rare opportunity for a strong value play in the playoffs.
The Miami Heat got absolutely steamrolled by the Milwaukee Bucks last game to give the Bucks a 2 – 0 series lead. The Heat starters were disappointing and played limited minutes, so a lot of people got hurt by rostering Miami guys. Jimmy Butler was very highly rostered last time around, and he was disappointing with only 22 FPTS. However, we still really like getting to Butler at $8,400 tonight, as he has the potential for a monster outing. If the Heat are to show any fight in this series, Butler will need to put together one of the big performances we saw from last playoffs. Last game was a strange outlier, but the game before we did see the massive role we expect from Butler in the playoffs. We expect to see him play his 40 minutes tonight and try and will the Heat to a win. He could explode here, and he is not to hard to fit in at this price.
Robert Covington was popular last slate, and he also disappointed a lot of people with 12.3 FPTS. We were looking elsewhere for value last slate; however, the cheap value options are extremely thin tonight. Furthermore, we have so many great studs tonight that we need to clear up some salary. We really like the playoffs minutes we are seeing from Covington, as he played 37 minutes last game. We are getting Covington for only $4,400 here and expect a much more productive night then we saw last game.
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Deandre Ayton – C ($6,300 DK) It is hard not to like Ayton here, as he is not at all priced for the minutes load he is playing during the playoffs. Ayton played 42 minutes last game and 37 minutes in the game before that. He has smashed this price tag in both playoffs game so far and he looks fantastic until he is priced up. Ayton is priced for the much smaller minutes load he was playing at the end of the regular season, but he is seeing massive run this series. He should see another good opportunity tonight, and it is so easy for him to hit value at this price.
Goran Dragic – G ($5,100 DK) Dragic has been the Heat guy we keep going to since the start of the playoffs, and for good reason. Dragic did not have too big of a role throughout the regular season, but we know he is important for Miami during the playoffs. Dragic was great in game one playing 37 minutes and scoring 31.5 FPTS. In game two, he was the only main piece for Miami that did not flop in terms of DFS, as he managed to put together 27 FPTS before the core guys were rested. We expect to see Dragic play massive minutes tonight which he is simply not priced for. There is a ton of upside for Dragic, and we expect him to easily hit value if this stays close.
Jae Crowder – F ($4,400 DK)Crowder is not the most exciting DFS play around, but we are always desperate for solid minutes at a low-price tag during the playoffs. Crowder looks good at this price, as he hit value last game while getting into foul trouble. Crowder has played 29 minutes in the past two games, and he should play around that tonight. If Crowder has a good shooting night, he will be a great value, but he does not need to do too much to give us what we need here.
Jrue Holiday – Util ($7,600 DK) Last year coach Budenholzer and the Bucks received a lot of flak for not playing there core enough minutes. It appears they are learning from the3re mistakes this year, as the Bucks starters are now playing significantly more then any other team in the NBA. Holiday has been great lately and it does not make sense why he is not more expensive. He has scored well over 40 FPTs in each of the past four games, showing 55 FPT upside in that span. We expect Holiday to play around 40 minutes with good usage here, and there are a lot of ways he can blow away this price tag.
Here’s a balance lineup For DFS Basketball 5/27/21 (using FanDuel Values)
Tyler Herro – SG (4,900 FD) We are yet to see the Herro-mania we saw last playoffs, as Herro has not played a lot of minutes in either game against the Bucks. With that said, what the Heat have been doing is not working, so we would not be surprised if they change some things up tonight. Herro has a lot of upside if the Heat start using him more, and he has got quite cheap here.
CJ McCollum – SG (7,300 FD) McCollum looks good on both sites at this price as he has fantastic upside. McCollum should continue to play around 40 minutes, and he has a lot of usage for the Blazers. A big game is coming for McCollum, as it is not going to be Lillard who does everything every game.
Mikal Bridges – SF (5,300 FD) Bridges was the last guy in for us and he is far from a lock, as he has shown a low floor. However, we expect the Suns play Bridges massive minutes for his defense tonight, and he has good upside if his shots are falling. Bridges fills a tough SF position here and he fits perfectly into our lineup. Duncan Robinson is another solid option here, but we wouldn’t want too many Heat guys in one lineup.
Go win your lineup and tell us how you did. Twitter (@FantasyDFSX) is a good place for that.
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