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NBA Basketball DFS Advice

NBA DFS Picks for May 11 2021

Fred VanVleet
LOS ANGELES, CA - NOVEMBER 10: Los Angeles Lakers guard Avery Bradley (11) is guarded by Toronto Raptors guard Fred VanVleet (23) during a NBA game between the Toronto Raptors and the Los Angeles Lakers on November 10, 2019 at STAPLES Center in Los Angeles, CA.(Photo by Jevone Moore/Icon Sportswire)

 We have eleven games to talk about tonight, but most of our interest is concentrated on one team. The Toronto Raptors announced yesterday that they will be resting Kyle LowryPascal SiakamFred VanVleet and OG Anunoby for tonight’s game. As those are Toronto’s top four guys, there is a huge opportunity for any healthy raptors tonight. Our lineup revolves around spectacular budget plays from Toronto, so we have a ton of salary to play studs from elsewhere. We are going to a stars and scrubs build here, as a lot of our priorities from Toronto are quite cheap. A few other teams look good tonight, but the only team we are heavy on is the Raptors.

Here’s a stars and scrubs lineup For DFS Basketball 5/11/21 (using DraftKings Values)

Point GuardK. Hayes $5,400
Shooting GuardJ. Harris $3,100
Small ForwardK. Durant $9,900
Power ForwardY. Watanabe $3,500
Center   
Guard   
Forward $6.000
Utility   

The Pistons have a ton of injuries for tonight, including Jerami Grant and Cory Joseph. On another slate, we might be going to multiple Detroit guys here, but we just have so much value on Toronto. However, we still really like getting to Killian Hayes as his $5,400 price tag comes with a ton of upside. With all the Pistons out, we expect Hayes to start and see some solid floor time. He played 38 minutes last time out and shot the ball 17 times from the field.  He scored 39.75 FPTS last time out, which is the upside we are looking for tonight. We expect Hayes to play a similar role tonight in a fantastic matchup with the Minnesota Timberwolves. He has a ton of upside here and is always a strong play when Detroit is resting the veterans.

As we mentioned in our introduction, we are all over the Toronto Raptors for tonight’s slate. Jalen Harris at only $3,100 is one of our favorite plays on the slate, as he is giving us a ton of real upside at nearly minimum price. The Raptors were resting a few guys last game, and we saw Harris play 29 minutes to score 32 FPTS. The Raptors have way more injuries tonight, as there will only be six healthy Raptors who are not centers. Harris should be in for at least 30 minutes here, and we could see him play much more then that. At this price, Harris would have to not get run to disappoint us. Which is hard to imagine with all the guys out. Harris is hard to get away from here, as he offers a lot of upside with little risk.

We have more value on the bottom of tonight’s slate then the top, as most of our priorities from Toronto are cheap. With that said, we have some great studs playing tonight and can afford to play a few of them. Kevin Durant is a priority for us here with a great matchup against the Chicago Bulls. Durant appears to be back in perfect shape, and he has been doing a lot offensively without James Harden. Durant has been fantastic lately, scoring well over 60 FPTS in three of his last five games. With all the value on this slate it is not hard to find the $9,900 for Durant, and he has some of the best upside on the slate.

The Toronto Raptors are the source for all our cheap plays tonight. Yuta Watanabe looks fantastic at $3,500, as he should be in for a ton of floor times with all the injury. We expect Watanabe to see around 30 or even more minutes here, and he does not need much to hit value at this price. Everyone should be in for a small usage bump today as all the main scoring threats are gone, if Watanabe is shooting the ball a little more than usual he should be in for some massive value. Watanabe has scored 19.5 FPTS in each of his last two, and we expect him to do a bit better here. 

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Nikola Jokic – C ($11,000 DK)Considering all the value we have on this slate; it is hard to get away from Jokic. The Joker is averaging 57.8 FPTS per game, and he looks better then any of our other spend up options tonight. Jokic has great upside, as we know he can go for 70 FPTS on his good nights. The Nuggets have a fantastic matchup tonight against the Charlotte Hornets, who have struggled to defend centers all year. Jokic could be in for a huge performance in this spot, and we have no trouble paying his hefty price tag. 

Malachi Flynn – G ($5,300 DK) Flynn is one of several Raptors who look amazing in this spot. With all the guys out on Toronto, there are only three players who are not centers or low usage forwards. Flynn should start at point guard tonight and we expect him to play massive minutes. Flynn should have to do a lot for Toronto’s offense tonight, as we expect him to be relied on heavily for scoring and playmaking, Flynn has gigantic upside, as there is really no ceiling on the role we could see him play.

Gary Trent Jr. – F ($6,000 DK) Trent is the last of many Raptors we are highlighting in this lineup. He is another guy we are all over with all the guys out. Trent shot the ball 20 times last time, and the Raptors have way more injuries tonight. Trent has played 36 minutes in each of his last two games, we are expecting that to be around 40 tonight. The upside is impossible to get away from here, as Trent should be in for ridiculous usage. Given the situation, we have no problem getting to four Raptors in tournaments and may play even more in Cash games.

Facundo Campazzo – Util ($5,700 DK) Campazzo is not cheap tonight but he has been fantastic with the Nuggets missing a ton of guards. Campazzo has scored at least 30 FPTS in each of his past four games, and he has showed upside north of 47 FPTS. Campazzo has been playing well over 30 minutes every night, and he has had to take a lot of the ball handling responsibilities for the Nuggets. Campazzo has a lot of upside, which is what we are always looking for on a big slate like this. 

Here’s a stars and scrubs lineup For DFS Basketball 5/11/21 (using FanDuel Values)

Point GuardM. Flynn $5,000
Point GuardJ. Harris $4,200
Shooting GuardY. Watanabe $3,500
Shooting GuardG. Trent $4,900
Small ForwardK. Durant $10,600
Small ForwardK. Leonard $8,400
Power ForwardT. Harris $6,900
Power ForwardT. Young $5,400
CenterN. Jokic $11,000

Kawhi Leonard – SF (8,400 FD) Leonard is cheap on both sites tonight, and he has upside to crush this price. Leonard has not been great lately, and frankly this low price is somewhat warranted. But we know he could still easily go for over 50 against a terrible Raptors defense. We can fit a lot of studs on FanDuel, and it make a lot of sense to squeeze in Leonard for tournaments.

Tobias Harris – PF (6,900 FD) One thing we must mention for tonight is that Joel Embiid is questionable. If Embiid is in we are not too interested in the 76ers. However, if Embiid ends up out, we have a lot of value there, starting with Harris. Harris usually takes a lot more shots with Embiid on the floor and is a fantastic play at this price if Embiid ends up out. 

Thaddeus Young – PF (5,400 FD) Young is cheaper than we normally get him for as he has been disappointing in his last two games. With that said, the Bulls have a fantastic matchup against the Nets tonight who are terrible at defending big men. Young should be able to capitalize in his time on the floor in this spot, and we know he has a lot of upside for this price.

Have fun with this one, make sure to keep an eye on the news as there is some risk the Toronto game could be postponed.

Go win your lineup and tell us how you did. Twitter (@FantasyDFSX) is a good place for that.

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