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NBA Basketball DFS Advice

NBA DFS Picks for March 4 2021

Paul George DFS
LOS ANGELES, CA - FEBRUARY 21: Brooklyn Nets Guard Bruce Brown (1) shot is blocked by Los Angeles Clippers Guard Paul George (13) during a NBA game between the Brooklyn Nets and the Los Angeles Clippers on February 21, 2021 at STAPLES Center in Los Angeles, CA. The game was played without fans due to the COVID-19 pandemic. (Photo by Brian Rothmuller/Icon Sportswire)

The season of endless value continues tonight, as a lot of guys have already been ruled out of tonight’s nine game slate. We will be continuing to target a top-heavy studs and duds lineup as it allows us to incorporate all the value into our build. Our strategy for tonight involves targeting players who are in store for massive minutes and usage boosts. Every single player we are targeting today will be missing key teammates for tonight’s games. We have some really enticing value plays today and there are always strong plays at the top to fill in the gaps.

Here’s a value-based lineup For DFS Basketball 3/4/21 (using DraftKings Values)

Point GuardD. Smith Jr. $4,800
Shooting GuardP. George $8,600
Small Forward  $7,000
Power ForwardE. Paschall $3,700
CenterN. Jokic $10,900
Guard  $3,000
Forward  $3,500
Utility         $8,400

The Detroit pistons will be missing multiple core pieces once again tonight. Dennis Smith Jr should continue to start and play major minutes. Smith scored well over 50 FPTS with a triple double last game and his price has dropped $100. Smith is only $4,800 tonight and he is a shoe in to crush his salary. Smith has scored over 30 FPTS in each of his last four outings, yet he is not even $5,000. Smith is a smash play tonight no matter what and he will look even better if Jerami Grant is also sidelined. 

The Clippers have a dream matchup with Washington tonight and Kawhi Leonard will likely sit out. Which means things look great tonight for Paul George. George has seen a massive bump in usage in games without Leonard this season, he shot the ball 26 times last game without Leonard. Washington play at a fast pace and Paul George will be stuffing the stats if he is the only star out there for L.A. If Leonard is listed in, I may suggest looking elsewhere as George is $8,600. However, it looks like Leonard will sit as of now.

The news just came in that Steph Curry and Draymond Green are both out for tonight. Golden state is now going to be a core source of value. Eric Paschall looks great tonight as he will probably start and should play massive minutes regardless. Paschall is not a player we typically target for DFS, but he will have a huge role today. Paschall is $3,700 tonight and should easily crush value. Paschall has some crazy upside in this spot and will easily fit into any build. 

On a slate where we have more then enough value to choose from, we may as well roster Nikola JokicJokic is now averaging a clean 60 FPTS a game and is only $10,900. This may seem like a big tag, but Jokic is probably the biggest steal on the slate given his production. The Nuggets have been missing a lot of there reserves which solidifies the minutes and usage for Jokic. We have been rostering Jokic a lot lately, as he has been consistently underpriced. Jokic has been averaging almost 62 FPTS over the last ten days and has been under $11,000 the entire time. Jokic projects as the top performer tonight and we have more then enough value to pay up for him. 

Now what do you get if you sign up now?
• More value plays who should get a ton of run.
• A few Midrange studs who will have to do everything tonight on Toronto
• Different options to prepare for the night’s news 

Norman Powell – SF (7,000 DK) The raptors are missing most of there starters tonight and Powell should take on a massive load. Powell was dominant in this rotation last game, as he scored 46.3 FPTS in 38 minutes. Powell has been great for the Raptors this season and is in a great situation tonight. Powell will have to do a lot if the Raptors want to keep it competitive and he has upside for another monster game.

Brad Wanamaker – G ($3.000 DK) Wanamaker got the start last time Curry was out. We are not sure who will get the start tonight, but it will probably be either Wanamaker, Mychal Mulder, or Damion Lee. All these guards are the minimum price and we strongly suggest plugging in whoever gets the start. Whoever gets the start of these three guards should be in for more than enough minutes to crush value. Wanamaker was great in this spot last game, but you can expect a solid performance from whoever gets the starting bid for the dubs tonight.

Kent Bazemore – F ($3,500 DK) Bazemore is our favorite value play from Golden state tonight. Bazemore scored 26 FPTS last night and should get a nice boost with all the injuries. Bazemore will most likely start tonight and should have to play massive minutes. Expect a nice usage boost from for Bazemore due to the players he will be sharing the court with tonight. Bazemore is a lock if he is listed as a starter tonight.

Kyle Lowry – Util ($8,400 DK) This price tag is a little expensive for Lowry, but the raptors are so gutted today. For this to stay close with Boston Lowry will have to have a massive game. For this to stay close. Lowry has massive upside in this spot and can easily break the slate with all the extra usage. We have no problem paying up for this tag for Lowry, as we have so much value elsewhere.

Alternative Moves…

Andrew Wiggins – G ($6,400 DK) Wiggins is a key for tournaments tonight, as he has the upside to really break the slate. Wiggins should look to shoot the air out the ball with all the injuries for Golden state tonight. Wiggins has been a disappointing fantasy producer and always has some big risk. However, it is a risk you need to take if you want to win a big tournament.

This is looking like another great cash game slate as our value looks solid. Make sure to track the news and keep an eye out for starting lineups tonight. 

Go win your lineup and tell us how you did. Twitter (@FantasyDFSX) is a good place for that.

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