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NBA Basketball DFS Advice

NBA DFS Picks for March 22 2021

Giannis Antetokounmpo DFS Pick
Devonte Graham (Charlotte Hornets) vs Giannis Antetokounmpo (Milwaukee Bucks) during the Bucks v Hornets game on January 24, 2020 in Paris, France. (Photo by JB Autissier/Panoramic/Icon Sportswire) ****NO AGENTS---NORTH AND SOUTH AMERICA SALES ONLY****

Another day, another NBA DFS slate riddled with injuries and copious amounts of value. The two-time defending NBA MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo is listed as doubtful for tonight’s game. So, we are looking to roster multiple players from the Milwaukee Bucks’ Giannis is a huge usage consumer and does pretty much everything on the floor. Everyone else on Milwaukee projects to get a solid boost without him. We well get into our favorite picks from the Bucks as well as a few other teams that are going to be missing key players tonight. We are forced into a somewhat balanced build tonight, as the most expensive play on the slate is only $9,500.

Here’s a balanced lineup For DFS Basketball 3/22/21 (using DraftKings Values)

Point Guard  $6,800
Shooting GuardD. Graham $4,800
Small Forward  $7,600
Power ForwardB. Portis $4,100
CenterK. Towns $9,500
GuardC. Sexton $7,100
Forward  $3,500
Utility  $6,600

LaMelo Ball is out for the Hornets tonight and we are all over the Hornets guards. The Hornets have a deep guard rotation, and everyone eats after Ball. Devonte Graham has seen his role really diminish over the season which has resulted in his $4,800 price tag. Graham should see a massively increased role without Ball, and we expect that he see’s huge floor time tonight. Graham is averaging 27.2 FPTS per game this season and has showed that he can be a dynamic producer when the opportunity is there. Graham has upside to be a guy you absolutely need with a price like this.

Pretty much all the Milwaukee main rotation guys look great with Antetokounmpo sidelined. Bobby Portis is Antetokounmpo’s direct backup and should be the biggest recipient of his minutes. Portis is only $4,100 tonight and has showed serious upside when he got the start in the past. Portis is averaging over 23 FPTS on the season and should be in for a solid boost tonight. We are looking for a few high potential budget plays like Portis to create a lineup with winning upside tonight.

Karl Anthony-Towns is the most expensive play on the slate at $9,500 and he projects to be the highest producer by a decent margin. Towns is too cheap for his upside as he appears to be back to perfect shape at this point. Towns has been a top producer in NBA DFS for years and he is the only player on tonight’s slate that can be said about. Minnesota has a fairly good matchup with the Thunder, who have been playing pretty inexperienced centers. Towns should have no problem putting the OKC’s front court in a torture chamber tonight and has upside for another one of his huge nights. We have more then enough value to roster Towns tonight, considering he is the only expensive player we are looking to roster.

The Cleveland Cavaliers are facing off against the Sacramento Kings tonight, which is a matchup we have been attacking all season. Collin Sexton put on a show against Toronto last night and is only $7,100 tonight. Sexton scored 49.8 FPTS last game and has a better matchup tonight. We have typically seen Sexton a little more expensive than this and he works great in our balanced lineup. John Wall is the exact same price and is a good pivot if more players are ruled out for Houston. Which we know is always a possibility.

Now what do you get if you sign up now?
• High ceiling plays from the Milwaukee Bucks
• More value from the Charlotte Hornets
• Access to our core FanDuel lineup!

Jrue Holiday – G (6,800 DK) With Antetokounmpo out we must expect that Holiday see’s a relevant usage bump today. Holiday is cheap tonight, and he has a great floor with Antetokounmpo out of the picture. Holiday has showed us he has real star upside, and it is hard to pass up on him here. Holiday should be very owned on this slate as it is easy to fit him into any build. This is one of those plays that we do not want to be lighter than the field in terms of ownership. 

Khris Middleton – SF ($7,600 DK) Similar to Holiday, Middleton projects to be a lot better with Antetokounmpo out of the picture. Middleton is averaging 38.5 FPTS per game this season and he would look like a solid play if Antetokounmpo was healthy. However, he is a smash play with the Freak sidelined. Middleton should be the clear-cut number one option tonight and chuck up a ton of shots. If he gets going, he could easily be a top producer on the slate at this middling price tag.

Cody Martin – F ($3,500 DK) Martin is very cheap tonight and his minutes should be pretty solid with the extra opportunity going around in Charlotte. Martin scored 21.3 FPTS last game and that is the type of performance we are looking for tonight. Martin played 29 minutes last game and he should be able to give us a solid value game if he sees similar floor time tonight. Martin looks solid tonight; however even better value may open up closer to lock.

Terry Rozier – Util ($6,600 DK) Rozier should be the number one option in Charlotte without Ball tonight. Rozier has had some slate breaking performances this season and we expect him to get a ton of opportunity tonight. Rozier is too cheap for his role without Ball and is one of our favorite options on the slate. Rozier has upside for a 50 FPT performance tonight and he is not at all priced for that.  

Here’s a balanced lineup For DFS Basketball 3/22/21 (using FanDuel Values)

Point GuardJ. Holiday $6,800
Point GuardD. Garland $5,500
Shooting GuardT. Rozier $5,900
Shooting GuardD. Graham $4,300
Small ForwardK. Middleton $7,000
Small ForwardJ. Brown $7,800
Power ForwardB. Portis $3,700
Power ForwardD. Sabonis $9,100
CenterK. Anthony-Towns $9,700

Darius Garland – PG ($5,500 FD) Garland is way too cheap tonight given that he is averaging 28.5 FPTS per game this season. As we mentioned earlier, we love attacking this Sacramento Kings matchup tonight. Garland has a high ceiling and he can put out a performance that totally does not match his price tag tonight. Garland will likely be priced up over $6,000 soon and this is a great chance to buy him while the price is still low.

Jaylen Brown – SF ($7,800 FD) Brown is coming off a massive game last night and he has crushed value at this price for the past four slates. Brown is too cheap for the production he has seen lately, and we expect him to take a lot of shots again tonight. The Celtics have a nice matchup with Memphis tonight and Brown looks like a great midrange stud for either site.

Domantas Sabonis – PF ($9,100 FD) We know Sabonis has upside north of 60 FPTS per game and he is cheap on both sites. A lot of the guys we like on FanDuel are comically underpriced, so it is quite easy for us to play Sabonis along with Towns. The Bucks are a rather good matchup without Antetokounmpo, and we expect the Milwaukee frontcourt to have some problems with Sabonis.

Good luck tonight everyone, hope the March Madness brackets are going well.

Go win your lineup and tell us how you did. Twitter (@FantasyDFSX) is a good place for that.

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