We only have five games to breakdown today. However, we have found sneaky plays to build a solid lineup. The challenge for today will be finding strong value plays to fit in the more obvious studs. I will be playing a balanced lineup today, as there are strong stars but limited value plays. My strategy for tonight includes targeting high pace matchups that have big upside.
Here’s a balanced lineup For DFS Basketball 2/4/21 (using DraftKings Values)
PG L. Doncic $10,900 (DK)
SG __________ $5,800 (DK)
SF K. Huerter $5,500 (DK)
PF __________ $3,500 (DK)
C R. Gobert $7,500 (DK)
G __________ $4,000 (DK)
F __________ $3,900 (DK)
Util C. Wood $8,800 (DK)
Luka Doncic is my favorite play on the slate in terms of projected FPTS. Doncic scored 64 FPTS last game and is averaging 56.9 FPTS on the season. Tonight, Doncic has a great matchup with the Warriors, who play at a fast pace with terrible defense. Doncic has upside to break a slate at any price and is priced reasonably tonight at $10,900. We have some value picks that will make it easy to get to Doncic tonight.
We were all over Kevin Huerter yesterday in the premium picks and he delivered. Huerter scored 48.8 FPTS on less then one percent ownership. Huerter will remain in the starting lineup today and should continue to play extended minutes, Huerter is priced at $5,500, cheaper than he was for his big night yesterday. Expect Huerter to go from contrarian to chalk today. Still, if he continues to play huge minutes Huerter should crush this price.
If you have read a few of these articles, you have probably noticed me discussing how Rudy Gobert has been underpriced all season on DraftKings. Gobert is priced at $7,500 despite averaging 38.6 FPTS on the season. The Jazz have a dream matchup tonight against the fast-paced Hawks. Gobert is a lock for cash games in this matchup, as he should hit value easily.
Houston is going to be gutted tonight, although it is still up in the air as to who will be playing amongst there guards. Regardless, Christian Wood should be taking on a big usage boost today. Wood is coming off a few disappointing games, however his last three were all blowouts. If the game is closer today Wood can break the slate with his production. Wood should dominate an easy matchup with the Memphis big men tonight.
Now what do you get if you sign up now?
• Value plays that let you pay up tonight
• A midrange play that is setup to explode
• Top pay up options for stars and scrubs
Eric Gordon – SG ($5,800 DK) There is a good chance that John Wall and Victor Oladipo are both out tonight. If that is the case Gordon is an absolute lock. Regardless, Oladipo should rest tonight which will allow Gordon into the starting lineup. Gordon has massive upside if his shot is falling and should play big minutes today.
Juan Toscano-Anderson – PF ($3,500 DK) The warriors will be playing without any centers tonight. Toscano-Anderson should start and share the frontcourt responsibilities. There are not a lot of value plays tonight and Toscano-Anderson is safe as long as he starts. Toscano-Anderson scored over 25 FPTS last game, which would crush this price tag.
Jalen Brunson – G ($4,000 DK) Brunson is not a very glamourous pick. However, a fairly safe value play is hard to turn down on a slate like this. Brunson is averaging over 20 FPTS on the season and scored 24.5 FPTS last game. Brunson has a great matchup today against Golden state and has a high floor for the price.
Dorian Finney-Smith – F ($3,900 DK) We want to target the Warriors matchup heavily tonight and this price is great for Finney-Smith. Finney-Smith scored 22.3 FPTS last game and has shown bigger upside. Finney-Smith is averaging over 33 minutes over his last three games. If that continues today, he should be able to crush value at this price.
Alternative Moves…
Joel Embiid – C ($10,200 DK) Embiid was has been a monster all season. He is one of those players who consistently crushes when the matchup is there, which it is tonight. Portland has no business trying to defend Embiid and he should impose his will against their big men. Embiid has had too many big games to count this year and is in line for another one tonight. Keep an eye on the news if you are rostering Embiid, he is on a back-to-back and there is a small chance he sits.
Kristaps Porzingis – G ($7,500 DK) Porzingis has huge upside for this price tag and a perfect matchup to show it. The Warriors are small today and it will be interesting to see how they plan on defending Porzingis, who is well over seven feet. Porzingis is key for GPP’s tonight due to his 50 FPT upside.
Keeping an eye on the last-minute news will make the difference today.
Go win your lineup and tell us how you did. Twitter (@FantasyDFSX) is a good place for that.
