We have a fantastic six-gamer to breakdown today. This slate looks fantastic, as we have some great value opportunities, without too many games to choose from. We do have a lot of injuries tonight, specifically coming from the Indiana Pacers and the Houston Rockets. As a result, we are going for an aggressive stars and scrubs build using value from these two squads. We have a few a few great studs to target today and can squeeze in three great spend-up options tonight. We still have some injury news up in the air, mostly from Indiana. We will talk about some priorities for either way the questionable tags can fall.
Here’s a stars and scrubs lineup For DFS Basketball 4/24/21 (using DraftKings Values)
|Point Guard||A. Brooks||$3,400|
|Shooting Guard||P. Dozier||$7,200|
|Small Forward||L. Doncic||$11,000|
The Houston Rockets are missing John Wall as well as multiple of there high usage guys for tonight. We have a ton of value on Houston tonight and are looking to the Rockets for a few cheap plays. Armoni Brooks is a smash play for us at $3,800, as he will be one of the only guards available for Houston tonight. Brooks started and played 30 minutes last game, and we expect him to see a much bigger role with Wall off the floor. The Rockets do not have a lot of shot creators today, and it is fair to expect a nice usage boost for Brooks. At this price, we really do not need much for solid value from Brooks. However, with all run he should see today he has some fantastic upside.
Another guard who looks like fantastic value for tonight is PJ Dozier. Dozier is our only value target for tonight that is not from Indiana or Houston. Dozier is way too cheap at $4,100 as he scored 25 FPTS last game and is averaging over 24 FPTS across the past ten days. Dozier should be in for a massive boost tonight with Will Barton out, as we expect him to step in for a lot of Barton’s minutes. Dozier could be in for a start today, but he should see a solid minutes boost regardless. If Barton is to get any boost from his recent production with Barton off the floor, he will shape up to be an incredible value play. We cannot quite call Dozier a lock with all the great value on this slate, but he is a play we feel very safe with.
We have a lot of fantastic value plays for tonight, as a result we can play all the stars that are enticing for us. Luka Doncic is a play we did not think would be in our core lineup, but we can play him and still afford to play everyone else we want to. With that said, Doncic has been on fire lately, and looks good for his $11,000 tag. There is a unwritten rule on DraftKings right now that guys don’t get priced above $11,000. As a result, when superstars are hot, they are generally underpriced for there production. Doncic is putting up 59.9 FPTS across the past ten days. He scored 58.25 FPTS last game with over 60 FPTS in each of the three before. Doncic is one of the three or four top DFS producers in the league, and he always has upside for 70 FPTS. As mentioned, we have no reason to get away from Doncic here as we can play him alongside the other studs we want to get to.
The Pacers are a team we need to watch tonight as a lot is still up in the air. With that said we know Domantas Sabonis is out so we will have a lot of value either way. Goga Bitadze is questionable like he was going into last game. Bitadze ended up sitting last time around, but we must watch to see what happens tonight. If Bitadze plays, we are looking to roster him if he ends up in the starting lineup. Bitadze is $4,100 tonight, and if healthy he will be the only center for the Pacers tonight. If Bitadze starts, he should be in for a lot of run and he looks like a fantastic value play. However, if Bitadze is not starting we will likely look elsewhere. We will get to our favorite value from the Pacers if Bitadze ends up ruled out.
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Oshae Brissett – PF ($4,200 DK) We spoke about Brissett going into last game as a priority if Bitadze is out. It is the same situation here, as we saw Brissett start at center last time around and he was the best play on the slate. Brissett went for over 50 FPTS last time around, which has led to his $1,200 price rise. Regardless, if Brissett is the starting center for Indiana again today, we must expect massive minutes again. Brissett did a little bit of everything last time around, he has huge upside if the opportunity is the same here. Brissett looks solid if some of the questionable tags do not play for Indiana tonight, but he is a smash play if he gets the start at center without Bitadze.
Nikola Jokic – C ($10,900 DK) Jokic has been underwhelming in his last two contests, but he is still a smash play for us in this spot. With all the value on tonight’s slate, it is hard to get away from the league’s top DFS producer. The cost on Jokic is not a problem at all today, as we can play him and Doncic and still get to who we want elsewhere. We have so many cheap priorities tonight, so the lineup naturally involves Jokic. Jokic has a fantastic matchup against the gutted Houston squad tonight, who do not have any real centers to throw at him. Jokic is averaging 58.2 FPTS on the season and has showed some of the best upside of anyone in the league. Jokic will be high owned tonight, and we would not feel good about betting against him.
Malcolm Brogdon – G ($8,300 DK) It was quite surprising that we can easily afford to play Brogdon, Jokic and Doncic together in the same lineup. However, that is the magic of the 2021 NBA season. We have so much value tonight, that we want to play all the studs we feel have overwhelming upside. We know that is the case with Brogdon as he scored 61.8 FPTS last game with all the guys out for the Pacers. Brogdon did everything for Indiana last game, and he had to with Sabonis and a few other scorers out. Brogdon has been great without Sabonis on the floor all season and he is looking at an easy matchup tonight. Brogdon has some of the best upside on tonight’s slate, and we do not have sacrifice playing either of our two superstars to get to him.
Kenyon Martin Jr – F ($3,600 DK) Martin Jr, is yet another value play that looks fantastic with all the injuries tonight. The Rockets will barely have enough bodies to take the floor tonight, and the size on Martin makes him a hot commodity. Martin has not been great lately, but we saw that he can really produce when he first went to Houston. Martin should be in for some solid run tonight, and the usage could be there for any of the Rockets guys. We do not need much from Martin here, as he opens so much flexibility. The Rockets are so gutted tonight, most of there rotation pieces feel solid.
|Point Guard||L. Doncic||$11,500|
|Point Guard||M. Brogdon||$8,000|
|Shooting Guard||P. Dozier||$3,900|
|Shooting Guard||A. Brooks||$4,200|
|Small Forward||O. Brissett||$5,200|
|Small Forward||D. House||$4,000|
|Power Forward||R. O’Neale||$5,500|
|Power Forward||J. Tate||$5,900|
Danuel House Jr. – SF (4,000 FD) House has only had one game since his return from injury, and we would typically be looking elsewhere. However, with all the injuries for Houston tonight we expect House to start and get solid run. The Rockets do not have any high usage studs today, and House could be taking a lot of shots. House has some nice upside in this spot that isn’t being shown in the price tag.
Royce O’Neale – PF (5,500 FD) O’Neale was the last guy in for us and we left some money on the board to make moves as we get more news. However, we do want to talk about the Jazz as they have a great matchup and plenty of usage to go around. O’Neale has shown solid upside and could be in for a big game here. If you are playing a lot of lineups, we suggest getting some exposure to all the main Utah guys.
Jae’Sean Tate – PF (5,900 FD) with all the guys out for Houston, Tate could easily be their leading scorer tonight. We are getting Tate at a really nice price on FanDuel, and he should be more expensive for the role he will have tonight. Tate will be on the floor for big minutes here and could be fantastic with a strong shooting night.
Good luck tonight, keep an eye on the Indiana news and whatever else breaks before lock.
Go win your lineup and tell us how you did. Twitter (@FantasyDFSX) is a good place for that.
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