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NBA Basketball DFS Advice

NBA DFS Picks for April 11 2021

Paul George DFS
LOS ANGELES, CA - FEBRUARY 21: Brooklyn Nets Guard Bruce Brown (1) shot is blocked by Los Angeles Clippers Guard Paul George (13) during a NBA game between the Brooklyn Nets and the Los Angeles Clippers on February 21, 2021 at STAPLES Center in Los Angeles, CA. The game was played without fans due to the COVID-19 pandemic. (Photo by Brian Rothmuller/Icon Sportswire)

We have an eight-game slate to breakdown, and it is a little bit less straightforward than last night’s contest. We still have a ton of injuries For Toronto, but a tough matchup and some guys returning make it more complicated. We are looking to the Clippers for value tonight, as we know that Kawhi Leonard is not going to be playing tonight. Furthermore, all the injured Bucks are probable tonight apart from Giannis Antetokounmpo who is doubtful. A lot of our value teams have been priced up and it is a little harder to find value tonight. However, there are still some great plays available. We have built a midrange lineup for tonight, as a lot of our favorite studs are in the $8,000 range. 

Here’s a midrange lineup For DFS Basketball 4/11/21 (using DraftKings Values)

Point GuardJ. Holiday $8,200
Shooting GuardP. George $8,400
Small ForwardG. Trent Jr. $5,800
Power Forward  $3,700
Center  $5,200
Guard  $7,000
Forward  $8,000
UtilityL. Kennard $3,700

Last game the Bucks rested most of there core rotation. For tonight, Antetokounmpo is doubtful while everyone else is probable. Assuming Antetokounmpo is the only player out today, we still have a lot of value getting to the Bucks studs. Jrue Holiday is our favorite option from Milwaukee as he has been fantastic without Antetokounmpo recently. Holiday has shown massive upside with the Freak sidelined, including a 64.25 FPT performance a few games ago. Holiday is priced at $8,200 tonight, which does not really cover his upside without Antetokounmpo. We are looking to roster multiple studs in this price range tonight, as that is where a lot of the injury value is on this slate.

With Leonard out for the Clippers, Paul George is a no brainer tonight. George is already a good play at $8,400 as we know he has upside north of 50 FPTS. George has scored 52.75 and 53.25 FPTS in his last two games and he should be in for a bigger opportunity without Leonard. George is already underpriced considering how cheap he is for back-to-back 50 FPT games. The Clippers have a nice matchup against the Pistons tonight and George is a perfect fit for our midrange build. George has seen a usage boost without Leonard all season and we expect that to be the case again tonight.

A few Raptors are back tonight but we also got the news that OG Anunoby is out tonight. We are still happy to get to Gary Trent JR at $5,800, as he has not had time to be priced up after his career night last night. Trent absolutely broke the slate for us last night with a ridiculous 63.8 FPTS. We obviously do not expect that output from him again, but he is still a solid value with anything over 30 FPTS. We expect Trent to continue to play massive minutes tonight and no doubt he will be in for another high usage night. Trent should have another big opportunity and he does have upside for a big game. He does have a somewhat low floor as he is scoring dependent, but he is not priced for the number of shots he is taking per game.

We have seen Luke Kennard receive a huge boost with Leonard out in the past. Tonight, we need value and are happy getting to Kennard at only $3,700. Kennard has a low floor on the season as his minutes can be slim to none with no injuries. However, we have seen him play a lot of forward minutes when one of the big studs was out. Kennard has been solid when the Clippers were injured in the past and he could be a fantastic play with good shooting tonight. At this price, Kennard should be able to hit value if he lands in the rotation.

Now what do you get if you sign up now?
• Another high upside play from Milwaukee.
• An underpriced stud point guard.
•  Get 7-days for free and all-access for all sports for $99 per year after

Xavier Tillman – PF (3,700 DK) Tillman is something of a punt for us and will likely be replaceable if better value opens. However, power forward is the weakest position tonight and this price allows us to go with who we want everywhere else. Tillman went for 19.75 FPTS last game and scored over 20 in two of the four before that. At this price anything around 20 FPTS would be fantastic for us and we are hoping that is what Tillman goes for tonight. The Grizzlies still have some injuries and Tillman will likely do enough to be ok here. However, if some more big news breaks he is a guy we would look to replace.

Isaiah Hartenstein – C ($5,200 DK) The Cleveland frontcourt remains gutted for tonight and we should see Hartenstein continue to start at center. Hartenstein has crushed value in every game since he got the start, apart from a Hellish matchup with Miami. Hartenstein went for 44 FPTS last game and that was not the first time in this stretch he was one of the best values on the slate. Hartenstein has scored well over 30 FPTS in each of his last three and we are happy getting to him again tonight. He fits well into our midrange build and is underpriced for his production in the starting lineup.

Ja Morant – G ($7,000 DK) Morant has been somewhat inconsistent this season but he is still too cheap tonight. Morant went for 42 FPTS last game and he has showed us incredible upside all season. At this price, Morant will be one of the better plays on the slate if he has one of his good games. There is some risk here as Morant has had some bad games in the past, however his inadequate price covers a lot of the risk. We are always looking for upside in DFS and there is no doubt that is what we are getting with Morant.

Khris Middleton – F ($8,000 DK) Middleton has not consistently delivered without Antetokounmpo recently, but the opportunity has been there. For example, Middleton connected on six of twenty-seven attempts last game. He only finished with 30 FPTS, but we are willing to risk that if he is going to be getting this type of opportunity. Middleton is a bona fide star, and he is shooting the ball more then anyone else in the league right now. He is cheap for his usage and we would not be surprised with a massive game from him one of these slates.

Here’s a midrange lineup For DFS Basketball 4/11/21 (using FanDuel Values)

Point GuardJ. Holiday $8,700
Point GuardJ. Morant $7,000
Shooting GuardP. George $9,000
Shooting GuardG. Trent Jr. $6,200
Small ForwardK. Middleton $7,800
Small ForwardR. Barrett $6,200
Power ForwardI. Hartenstein $5,600
Power ForwardX. Tillman $4,100
CenterE. Kanter $5,400

RJ Barrett – SF (6,200 FD) The Small Forward position is weak on FanDuel tonight and we know Barrett has great upside. The Knicks have a fantastic matchup against Toronto tonight and we could see a big night from Barrett. Barrett has scored over 30 FPTS in each of his last two games and he has upside for a huge game if he is shooting well.

Enes Kanter – C ($5.400 FD) Kanter was the best play on the slate last night as he went for 68 FPTS at a cheap price. Tonight, Kanter does have a tough matchup in the Heat but he is still a smash play at this price. Kanter will be starting again tonight, and he is way too cheap on FD. He has great upside as we saw last night, and he is priced for a poor performance here.

Good luck tonight, keep an eye on the news as we still have a lot up in the air.

Go win your lineup and tell us how you did. Twitter (@FantasyDFSX) is a good place for that.


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