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NBA Basketball DFS Advice

NBA DFS Advice for December 22, 2021

Jrue Holiday
LOS ANGELES, CA - NOVEMBER 24: New Orleans Pelicans Guard Jrue Holiday (11) drives to the basket defended by Los Angeles Clippers Guard Paul George (13) during a NBA game between the New Orleans Pelicans and the Los Angeles Clippers on November 24, 2019 at STAPLES Center in Los Angeles, CA. (Photo by Brian Rothmuller/Icon Sportswire)

Tonight’s slate has a lot of moving parts across eleven games. A few teams are absolutely gutted from Covid here, so they are playing some unusual lineups. For DFS, there is a ton of value here, like what we had last night. The Orlando Magic and Atlanta Hawks are our two priorities for value as of now, with tons of guys sidelined on both squads. We have a ton of cheap plays we really like tonight, so we can be liberal with the stars we spend up for.

Here’s Two Core Plays For DFS Basketball 12/23/21 (using DraftKings Values)

Point GuardJ. Holiday $8,300
Shooting Guard   
Small Forward   
Power ForwardW. Hernangomez $7,300
Center   
Guard   
Forward   
Utility   

Holiday is always a priority for us when Antetokounmpo is out, and he looks fantastic tonight as his price has come back down to $8,300. Holiday has been smashing lately, going for 55, 56.25, and 49.5 FPTS respectively in his past three games. Khris Middleton is back for Milwaukee, but Holiday still has to do as much as he can with all the guys they are missing. He was accurately priced at $9,400 last night, so he is a priority at over $1,000 cheaper.

We got the news yesterday that Jonas Valanciunas would be sidelined for the Pelicans tonight. Willy Hernangomez is a priority in his absence, as we typically see him play a lot of minutes in these situations. Hernangomez should start here, and at $3,800 he is way too cheap. He is already averaging over 20 FPTS on the season, so any boost tonight would make him a fantastic value.

Here’s a Fade DFS Basketball 12/23/21 (using DraftKings Values)

Between eleven games there are a ton of studs available, and quite a few we really want to get to. We also have some guys that are just too expensive to justify relative to other spend-up options. Steph Curry is a fade for us tonight at $11,900. Curry should not be this expensive, as is not as good a DFS producer as Nikola Jokic or Giannis Antetokounmpo. It is fair to question if Curry would be this expensive if he were not such an iconic superstar in the NBA. For DFS we are all about the base stats, and Curry’s don’t measure up to his price point.

Now, what do you get if you sign up now for $99?
• A priority guard from the Atlanta Hawks.
• Two wings that have huge upside for their price tonight.
• A stud forward who must do everything for his team here.
• A cheap center who has been crushing. 

Sign up today for $99 (for six months) here 

Point Guard 

Delon Wright – PG ($4,200 DK) The Hawks are really digging into the reserves here, as Trae Young is among their many sidelined guys due to Covid. Wright played 38 minutes as the starting point guard last game, and he went for 26 FPTS. That production is solid at this price point, but he could easily do a lot more with this much time on the floor. Wright is way too cheap for this one, so there is very little risk to getting him here.

Shooting Guard 

Gary Harris – ($5,100 DK) Harris has been a priority for us in the past three games now, as the Magic are missing a lot of their team with injuries or health protocols. Harris has gone for over 30 FPTS in three straight games, and we know he is going to play well over 30 minutes. He is way too cheap here, as he is one of the many value options that has not been priced up despite some crazy productivity.  

Small Forward 

Cam Reddish  ($4,600 DK) With all the Atlanta injuries Reddish saw one of the biggest opportunities of his career last time out. He put up 23 attempts from the field in 42 minutes, which lead to a massive 51.5 FPT outing. Reddish should see another massive chance here tonight, and he is way too cheap at $4,600. Reddish may not show the same upside he did last time out, but he should easily smash value at this price point.

Power Forward  

John Collins – ($7,300 DK) Collins was one of our favorite players on the last slate with Trae Young and Clint Capela sidelined. He is a lock for us again tonight as he is the same price at $7,300. Collins went over 50 FPTS last time out, which should surprise no one with Young and Capela off the floor. He is going to have to do a lot again tonight, so we are all over him here.

Center

Robin Lopez – ($4,500 DK) The Magic are missing a lot of their core right now, including all their go-to big men. Lopez has had to step up and do a lot lately, as he has been consistently playing over 30 minutes. He has scored 32.25, 39.5, and 37.75 FPTS respectively in the three opportunities with all the injuries. He should be over $6,000 at this point, so he is an obvious value in this spot.

General strategy 

This is going to be one of those slates where we have too much value to know what to do with. We have a lot of options from Atlanta, Orlando, and the rest of the slate that should be locks in a typical DFS contest. If you are playing multiple lineups you want to make sure to get exposure to all our priorities here. If you are just going with one lineup, our favorite team to go after is going to be Atlanta. Good luck with this one and watch the news as more guys will be ruled out. 

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