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NBA Basketball DFS Advice

NBA DFS Advice for April 13, 2022

Trae Young
ATLANTA, GA - SEPTEMBER 30: Hawks guard Trae Young talks with reporters during the Atlanta Hawks Media Day on September 30, 2019, at Emory Sports Medicine Complex in Atlanta, GA. (Photo by Austin McAfee/Icon Sportswire)

We have another two-game DFS slate to break down here as we get to day two of the NBA play-ins. Compared to last night, it’s a lot easier to find value here as we have some ideal DFS matchups. We still do not have the crazy amounts of value created by injuries, but there are some nice $4,000 and under options that make things easier. We are a bit higher on the Atlanta – Charlotte matchup due to where guys are priced, but both the games today are solid DFS targets. 

Here’s Two Core Plays For DFS Basketball 4/13/22 (using DraftKings Values)

Point GuardT. Young $10,600
Shooting Guard   
Small Forward   
Power Forward   
CenterM. Plumlee $4,000
Guard   
Forward   
Utility   

With the four teams playing tonight there are no bad matchups, but the Hawks are in an especially good spot against the Charlotte Hornets. Trae Young is a priority for us, as he stands out as the best player on this slate. As all the teams playing tonight are facing elimination, we expect stars like Young to take on a huge role. Young is fairly priced at $10,600, as he can easily provide the production that we need at this price. With this matchup and the usage, we expect Young to see, that the sky is the limit here. 

There are a few value options we really like getting to from the Hornets where they are priced, starting with Mason Plumlee at $4,000. Plumlee should start tonight, and we are expecting him to play some solid run to match up with Clint Capela on the Hawks. Plumlee just averaged 23.4 FPTS over the season, so we are getting him on the cheaper side in this spot. 

Here’s a Fade DFS Basketball 4/13/22 (using DraftKings Values)

Like yesterday, there is no top-end fade if you are playing multiple lineups on a two-game slate. However, we do have guys that are not going to be priorities in single-entry. LaMelo Ball is a name we are always watching for GPPs, but at $9,700 he is a fade for Cash games and smaller tournaments here. We can get up to Young with only a few hundred more and he is a far more prolific producer in a better matchup. 

Here Is What Your Get If You Subscribe For $15 Per Month or $99 For The Year…
• One budget guard with some nice upside.
• A cheap star we are prioritizing tonight.
• Two forwards we expect to see a ton of floor time.
• Some general strategy for the shift from the regular season to play-ins. 

 Sign up here!

Point Guard 

Devonte Graham – ($3,900 DK) The New Orleans Pelicans have experimented with their starting lineup this season, so we are eager to see what they go with for tonight’s must-win game. We expect Graham to get the nod at point guard, which would make him a priority here as a budget option. Graham does not need to do much for us at $3,900, and we know as a producer he has some upside. He averaged 23.8 FPTS on the season, so he could be a great value if he has a big role in the playoff rotation.

Shooting Guard 

Terry Rozier – ($6,800 DK) Rozier is coming in at a great price tag here, as we usually see the top options on the more expensive side during the playoffs. Rozier should play a ton of minutes tonight, and he is always a high-usage guy. Rozier has a ton of upside, so at $6,800 a big game could make him a must-have.

Small Forward

Kelly Oubre Jr. – ($3,900 DK) The past season has been something of a rollercoaster for Oubre Jr.’s DFS production. He had some great stretches, but we saw him relegated to a smaller role towards the end. However, as the rotation shrinks for the playoffs, we expect Oubre to start and be a top guy for this team. Oubre averaged over 25 FPTS on the season, so there is a lot of potential at $3,900. 

Power Forward

Miles Bridges – ($7,100 DK) One of the first things you noticed on this slate was probably the price tag on Bridges, as he is significantly cheaper than where we have come to expect him. Bridges averaged 38.4 FPTS as a top option for the Hornets, and we saw him go for huge games throughout the year. Bridges is clearly too cheap at $7,100, and he its easily into any lineup.

Center 

Clint Capela – ($6,900 DK) Capela’s minutes have been a bit inconsistent over the season, but we expect the Hawks to give him some good run over the playoffs. Capela is a fantastic DFS producer, and we often see more traditional centers play more in the playoffs. This is a great price tag for Capela’s upside, especially with a fantastic matchup against Charlotte. 

General strategy

We do not have to worry about breaking news like we did during the regular season, but we always want to keep an ear out just in case. For Cash games tonight we are very high on the first game, as we are plugging in Graham, Young, and Bridges then going from there. It may be tough getting contrarian for tournaments with only two games, but we have a few priorities that should be under-owned. Jonas Valanciunas is a nice tournament option, as he will likely go overlooked in favor of the guards at the top end. Valanciunas is a guy who can really go off, so his upside is always fantastic.

So, what did you think?

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