As we head into Watkins Glen Race Week, we will have to look at drivers’ stats and history from other courses as we build our lineup this week. This week we are going to focus on finding value by looking at previous top contenders at road races the past couple of years. There are quite a few value drivers that you can insert into your lineup. Let’s now take a deep dive into who I think you can insert into your lineup for the Skrewball Peanut Butter Whisky 200 at Watkins Glen International.
Past Winners/Track Knowledge
It’s time for the NASCAR Series to take their best shot winning at Watkins Glenn International. The Xfinity Series has raced at Watkins Glenn International regularly over the years being one of the road course staples. This will be a 201.23-mile race where the drivers will be tasked with completing 82 laps around the Raceway. Watkins Glenn is a 2.454-mile Road Course, with an asphalt surface. This racecourse is home to eight unique turns that will push drivers to the limit. The best part about Watkins Glenn is that each turn has its own set of challenges that the drivers must overcome. As stage points are becoming more coveted as the year goes on and racers, must win stages to get those oh so valuable stage points, racers will have three stages to try and get points. Stage one is 20 laps, stage two is 20 laps, and stage three is 42 laps. With Watkins Glen being a tricky track with a long history there is a lot of data to sift through as we build out winning lineup.
Below is a lineup that we believe can provide the best value for the Skrewball Peanut Butter Whisky 200 at Watkins Glenn on 08/07/2021 (DraftKings Values)
|Driver #1||Ty Gibbs||$ 10,800|
|Driver #2||Austin Dillon||$ 9,900|
A-List Premium Price Drivers
Ty Gibbs ($10,800)
The rookie phenom is back racing in the Xfinity Series again as he continues his historic season. In nine races this year Ty Gibbs has two wins, finished top five in seven of nine races, and has led 92 laps. You could argue that no one has been better then Gibbs this season based on his sample size and seven of nine top five finishes. What’s also wild is that in half the number of races he is tied for third in top five achieved this year. This will be Gibbs first race at Watkins Glenn International but having his first race at a track this year hasn’t seemed to scare him away once. Gibbs is averaging 49.5 DFS points per race, which is out of this world. He is becoming one of those drivers that you must play each week as he is averaging as much as three times some drivers each week. I am going to give the rookie another shot this week.
Austin Dillon ($9,900)
Richard Childress Racing Austin Dillon has had a pretty good start to the year. So far in 2021 Dillon’s highlights have been winning the Bluegreen Vacations Duel Two and finishing third in the Daytona 500. If he and his team can keep up their solid efforts there is no reason why Dillon cannot add another top 10 finish, or better, especially as he joins the Xfinity Series for this race. In two Xfinity races this year Dillon has an 11th and 13th place finish. Dillon is one of the better drivers in this race, while also keeping in mind that he starts 33rd, a top 10 finish is not out of the realm of possible for Dillon who could be in for a big day. As a whole in 2021, Dillon has one top five finish and six top 10 finishes, all in the Cup Series. Dillon has also been improving his average finish this year. Look for Dillon to add another top 10 finish this weekend.
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Brandon Jones ($9,300)
Brandon Jones has seen his value drop over the last few weeks, but for me I see this as an advantage and some really good value, the guy can drive, and he has shown it all year. Jones, along with Ty Gibbs are all tied for fifth in top five finishes this year with seven. Jones may be ninth in points, but he does have four races where he didn’t finish. In races that he has finished this year, Jones has been top five in 46 percent of them. Jones has been oh, so close three times this year when he finished second at Homestead Miami, third at Las Vegas, and third at Darlington. I think, with his starting position of 21st, Jones can easily make his way into the top 10 or better, which would lead to a big day DFS wise. Take Jones’ good value this week and run with it.
B-List Value Drivers
Michael Annett ($7,700)
The driver of the number 1 for JR Motorsports Michael Annett finished the 2020 season ninth in points and made the playoffs. Annett is one of the more seasoned veterans in the Xfinity Series with his 312 career starts. Annett has been able to secure one top five finish and eight top 10 finishes so far this year, including a seventh-place finish at Dover and a so close top 10 finish at the Circuit of Americas with an 11th place finish. Annett has an eighth-place finish in 2019 at Watkins Glenn after starting 14th. Overall, pretty good for the veteran at both Watkins Glenn and on road courses in general. Annett is going to be looking at continuing his good season this year by adding another top 10 finish, something he has shown he can do numerous times.
C-List Sleeper Pick Drivers
Stephen Leicht ($6,300)
There is just something about picking the last place starting driver that I like to do. For one, you can only go up from there and second, you usually get the driver at extreme value. Paying $6,300 for a driver is always appealing, but to also have them start 40th, how can you beat that. Leicht has two Xfinity races under his belt this year where he finished 29th at the Daytona Road Course and 26th at Road America. Leicht has shown twice this year that he is an aspiring road racer and I think he could be in for a top 20 finish this week, which would mean going plus 20 in place differential points. Leicht is a must start for me this week.
Timmy Hill ($5,700)
I have built a top-heavy lineup this week. Therefore, Timmy Hill comes in as my week’s sleeper/value picks. I like the position that Timmy Hill is in to start the Skrewball Peanut Butter Whisky 200. Starting 32nd gives Hill a lot of point differential potential. Hill has been racing in the Xfinity Series and Cup Series quite frequently over the last few years. In the 2020 season, Hill had two top 10 finishes in the Truck Series, one top-five in the Xfinity Series, and two top 10 finishes in the Xfinity Series. In 2021, Hill has yet to finish in the top 10, but he has managed to lead four laps and have two top 20 finishes. Like I said earlier, this is a pure value pick to try and optimize the top of my lineup. Plus, a top 20 finish gives you 12-point differential points.
Now go win your matchup and let us know how you did. Or if I picked every driver that will be in that lap 71 crash, I encourage you to let me hear it. Either way come find us on Twitter (@FantasyDFSX).
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