As we head into Kansas Race Week, we will have to look at drivers’ stats and history from this course and other similar courses as we build our lineup this week. This week we are going to focus on finding value by looking at previous top contenders at Kansas Speedway the past couple of years. There are quite a few value drivers that you can insert into your lineup. Let’s now take a deep dive into who I think you can insert into your lineup for the Kansas Lottery 300 at Kansas Speedway.
Past Winners/Track Knowledge
It’s time for the NASCARs Xfinity Series to take their best shot winning at Kansas Speedway. The Xfinity Series raced at Kansas twice last year where Brandon Jones and Chase Briscoe left victorious. This will be a 300-mile race where the drivers will be tasked with completing 200 laps around the Speedway. Kansas Speedway is a 1.5-mile Speedway, with an asphalt surface. This raceway is home to 4 turns that will push drivers to the limit. The best part about this track is you never quite know which turn will make a driver stray off course or even wreck. Be ready for some intense racing this weekend. With Kansas being a tricky track with a history there is a lot of data to sift through as we build out winning lineup.
Below is a lineup that we believe can provide the best value for the Kansas Lottery 300 at Kansas Speedway on 10/23/2021 (DraftKings Values)
|Driver #1||Ty Gibbs||$ 11,200|
|Driver #2||Brandon Jones||$ 9,300|
A-List Premium Price Drivers
Ty Gibbs ($11,200)
As the winner of three races already this year at Daytona, Charlotte, and Watkins Glen, the rookie phenom is back racing in the Xfinity Series again as he continues his historic season. In 16 races this year Ty Gibbs has three wins, finished top five in eight races, top 10 in nine races, and has led 214 laps. You could argue that no one has been better then Gibbs this season based on his sample size and eight of 16 top five finishes. What’s also wild is that in half the number of races he is tied for eighth in top five achieved this year. This will be Gibbs first race at Kansas Speedway but having his first race at a track this year hasn’t seemed to scare him away once. Gibbs is averaging 44.9 DFS points per race, which is out of this world. He is becoming one of those drivers that you must play each week as he is averaging as much as three times some drivers each week. I am going to give the rookie another shot this week.
Brandon Jones ($9,300)
Brandon Jones has seen his value drop over the last few weeks, but for me I see this as an advantage and some really good value, the guy can drive, and he has shown it all year. Jones is currently in eighth via playoff points and needs to race well to lock his place into the top four. Jones does have eight races this year where he didn’t finish. In races that he has finished this year, Jones has been top five in 44 percent of them. Jones has been oh, so close six times this year when he finished second at Homestead Miami, third at Las Vegas, third at Darlington, second at Michigan, third at Daytona, second at Talladega, and 10th at Texas. Jones is currently on a good four race stretch where he has finished fifth, sixth, second, and fifth. I think, with his starting position of ninth, Jones can easily stay in the top 10 and potentially get into the top five. Take Jones’ good value this week and run with it.
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B-List Value Drivers
Jeb Burton ($8,500)
I mentioned earlier that I thought there was incredible value in this race, well here is one of the drivers who I think comes extremely cheap for how optimistic I am for their chances to race well this week. Jeb Burton has had an excellent 2021 season where he has one win, seven top-five finishes and 16 top 10 finishes. If you take out his 25th place finish at Atlanta 20th place finish at Darlington, and his 32nd place finish at Circuit of Americas his only blunders, he has an average finish this year of around ninth. Now if you want to include every race, you also get a very nice number, of around a top 10 finish. Talk about a great start to the year. Burton has really come into his own this year after finally becoming a full-time driver in the Xfinity Series. Burton is going to have plenty of opportunity to contend for another top-five finish.
Brandon Brown ($7,800)
Before the start of this season Brandon Brown only had one top-five finish and seven top 10 finishes to his name on the Xfinity Series. Now after a hot start to the 2021 season Brown has matched his career performance in 30 races. So far, this year Brown has one-win at Talladega, three top-five finishes, and nine top 10 finishes. This may even be in the realm of a safe pick this week especially for his dollar value. He is driving well and could be in for a top 10 finish again this week. I don’t think you can go wrong with Brown in your lineup this week. Brown offers a lot of flexibility with his price tag and starting position of 23rd.
C-List Sleeper Pick Drivers
Jeremy Clements ($6,800)
Driving the Number 51 Chevrolet Camaro for JC Racing, Jeremy Clements comes into this race poised to add another top 10 finish to his racing career. In the 2020 season, Clements finished with one top-five finish, five top 10 finishes, and led 12 laps. Clements got his first and only career Xfinity win in 2017 at Elkhart Lake. So far in 2021 Clements has seven top 10 finishes at the Daytona Road Course, Homestead-Miami, Phoenix, Darlington, Charlotte, Atlanta, and Darlington. Clements has finished top 20 in all races but nine this year. This is a very sneaky high potential pick this week that could pay huge dividends. And especially for this low cost and starting position of 19th.
Gray Gaulding ($6,400)
As a long shot pick this week, why not pick the driver starting right in the back. The only place Gray Gaulding can go on Saturday is up and I like the looks of that. Gaulding offers us some deep sleeper value for this race. Gaulding has raced at Kansas once over the last three years, where he finished 17th. If he can do that again and go from 17th to 40th he could be in for a very good day. Another top 20 this week would be excellent for your fantasy team. Gaulding has yet to break the top 15 in a race this year but he has also been starting near the back of the pack each week. In 18 races this year Gaulding has gained on average four spots from his starting position come race end. If you follow the numbers, then with Gaulding starting 40th this week he should be in for a top 30 finish. From a DFS perspective, that’s 10 differential points at his cheap price.
Now go win your matchup and let us know how you did.
Or if I picked every driver that will be in that lap 171 crash, I encourage you to let me hear it.
Either way come find us on Twitter (@FantasyDFSX).
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