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NASCAR DFS Picks for the Food City 300 on September 17, 2021

AJ Allmendinge
RICHMOND, VA - SEPTEMBER 11: AJ Allmendinger (16) Hyperice Chevrolet crossing the finish line during the Go Bowling 250 on September 11, 2021, at the Richmond International Raceway in Richmond, VA. (Photo by Lee Coleman/Icon Sportswire)

As we head into Bristol Race Week, we will have to look at drivers’ stats and history from this course and other similar courses as we build our lineup this week. This week we are going to focus on finding value by looking at previous top contenders at Bristol Motor Speedway the past couple of years. There are quite a few value drivers that you can insert into your lineup. Let’s now take a deep dive into who I think you can insert into your lineup for the Food City 300 at Bristol Motor Speedway.

Past Winners/Track Knowledge

It’s time for the NASCARs Xfinity Series to take their best shot winning at Bristol…baby. The Xfinity Series raced at Bristol twice in 2020 where Noah Gragson and Chase Briscoe left victorious. This will be a 159.9-mile race where the drivers will be tasked with completing 300 laps around the Speedway. Bristol Motor Speedway is a 0.553-mile Speedway, with a concrete surface. This raceway is home to 4 turns that will push drivers to the limit. The best part about Bristol, other then its small size is that each turn has its own set of challenges that the drivers must overcome. With Bristol being a tricky track with a history there is a lot of data to sift through as we build out winning lineup. 

Below is a lineup that we believe can provide the best value for the Food City 300 at Bristol Motor Speedway on 09/17/2021 (DraftKings Values)

Driver #1AJ Allmendinger $ 10,500
Driver #2Noah Gragson $ 10,200
Driver #3  
Driver #4  
Driver #5  
Driver #6  

A-List Premium Price Drivers

AJ Almendinger ($10,500)

In his first full time season in the Xfinity Series, AJ Allmendinger has been excellent. In 25 races Allmendinger has three wins, 15 top five finishes, 16 top 10 finishes, and has led 354 laps. Which is better than he had in 2020 in the Xfinity Series where he had two wins, six top five finishes, eight top 10 finishes and led 210 laps in 11 races. Of Allmendinger’s 10 wins in all three NASCAR Series, five of them have been at road courses. Allmendinger seems like a sure bet to be in the running this weekend, especially after how well he has raced this year. Allmendinger will start 10th this weekend so that means he could jump out to a lead early and lead a lot of laps. I think Allmendinger is almost a sure bet to be in it at the end. Try everything you can to fit one of them into your lineup this weekend.

Noah Gragson ($10,200)

No one is as hot right now as Noah Gragson as he comes into this race winning the last two races at Darlington and Richmond. Gragson has also raced well at Bristol the last three years, where in four races he has one win and three top 10 finishes. His win coming in the spring 2020 Bristol race. So far in 2021, Gragson has been excellent where he has two wins, 10 top five finishes, 16 top 10 finishes and has led 184 laps. The only slight draw back to Gragson this week is his pole position, which can have pros and cons. He is in line to potentially lead a lot of laps, but every position he loses, you can say goodbye to point differential points. I think the risk is warranted this week, and Gragson will be excellent.

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Brandon Jones ($9,400)

Brandon Jones has seen his value drop over the last few weeks, but for me I see this as an advantage and some really good value, the guy can drive, and he has shown it all year. Jones is currently in 10thvia playoff points and needs to race well to lock his place into the top eight. Jones does have eight races this year where he didn’t finish. In races that he has finished this year, Jones has been top five in 44 percent of them. Jones has been oh, so close five times this year when he finished second at Homestead Miami, third at Las Vegas, third at Darlington, second at Michigan, and third at Daytona. I think, with his starting position of 16th, Jones can easily get into in the top 10 and potentially top five. Take Jones’ good value this week and run with it.

B-List Value Drivers

Myatt Snider ($7,800)

As one of 12 playoff drivers this year, Myatt Snider is trending to have his best year yet. In his first fulltime season in 2020, Snider had two top-five finishes and six top 10 finishes. So far in 2021, Snider has one win and eight top 10 finishes. Snider is trending in the right direction. Snider has raced at Bristol twice in the Xfinity Series and the results were great as he finished in fifth place in the first one. Snider should be able to race to another top 10 finish this weekend. With Snider starting 17th I think he is in for an excellent race from a DFS perspective.

Gray Gaulding ($7,000)

As a long shot pick this week, why not pick the driver starting right in the back. The only place Gray Gaulding can go on Friday is up and I like the looks of that. Gaulding offers us some deep sleeper value for this race. Gaulding has raced at Bristol three times over the last three years in the Xfinity Series where he has one top 10 finish. Another top 10 this week would be excellent for your fantasy team. Gaulding has yet to break the top 15 in a race this year but he has also been starting near the back of the pack each week. In 16 races this year Gaulding has gained on average four spots from his starting position come race end. If you follow the numbers, then with Gaulding starting 39th this week he should be in for a top 30 finish. From a DFS perspective, that’s 10 differential points at his cheap price.

C-List Sleeper Pick Drivers

Chad Finchum ($5,100)

Here is a deep sleeper pick, that could have boom potential. Not only is Finchum extremely cheap this week, but he also starts 38th. In five races this year Finchum is averaging 18.7 points per race. Finchum is a serious contender for a lot of point differential points. So far in 2021 in five races Finchum has one top 15 finish. He has also finished better then he started in four of five races. 

Now go win your matchup and let us know how you did.

Or if I picked every driver that will be in that lap 246 crash, I encourage you to let me hear it.

Either way come find us on Twitter (@FantasyDFSX).

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