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NASCAR DFS Advice

NASCAR DFS Picks for the Dead On Tools 250 on Oct 30, 2021

Ty Gibbs
CHARLOTTE, NC - MAY 29: Ty Gibbs, driver of the #18 Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota, celebrates after winning the General Tire 150 on May 29, 2021 at Charlotte Motor Speedway in Concord, North Carolina. (Photo by David Rosenblum/Icon Sportswire)

As we head into Martinsville Race Week, we will have to look at drivers’ stats and history from this course and other similar courses as we build our lineup this week. This week we are going to focus on finding value by looking at previous top contenders at Martinsville the past couple of years. There are quite a few value drivers that you can insert into your lineup. Let’s now take a deep dive into who I think you can insert into your lineup for the Dean On Tools 250 at Martinsville Speedway.

Past Winners/Track Knowledge

It’s time for the NASCARs Xfinity Series to take their best shot winning at Martinsville Speedway. The Xfinity Series raced at Martinsville earlier in 2021 where Josh Berry left victorious. In 2020 the race was won with Harrison Burton.  This will be a 147.8-mile race where the drivers will be tasked with completing 250 laps around the Speedway. Martinsville Speedway is a 0.526-mile Speedway, with an asphalt surface. This raceway is home to 4 turns that will push drivers to the limit. The best part about Martinsville is that each turn has its own set of challenges that the drivers must overcome. With Martinsville being a tricky track with a history there is a lot of data to sift through as we build out winning lineup. 

Below is a lineup that we believe can provide the best value for the Dead On Tools 200 atMartinsville Speedway on 10/30/2021 (DraftKings Values)

Driver #1Ty Gibbs $ 11,500
Driver #2Noah Gragson $ 10,500
Driver #3  
Driver #4  
Driver #5  
Driver #6  

A-List Premium Price Drivers

Ty Gibbs ($11,500)

As the winner of four races already this year at Daytona, Charlotte, Watkins Glen, and Kansas the rookie phenom is back racing in the Xfinity Series again as he continues his historic season. In 17 races this year Ty Gibbs has four wins, finished top five in nine races, top 10 in 10 races, and has led 228 laps. You could argue that no one has been better then Gibbs this season based on his sample size and nine of 17 top five finishes. What’s also wild is that in half the number of races he is tied for eighth in top five achieved this year. This will be Gibbs first race at Martinsville Speedway but having his first race at a track this year hasn’t seemed to scare him away once. Gibbs is averaging 46.5 DFS points per race, which is out of this world. He is becoming one of those drivers that you must play each week as he is averaging as much as three times some drivers each week. I am going to give the rookie another shot this week.

Noah Gragson ($10,500)

Noah Gragson is one of the hottest drivers the last 20 races as he comes into this having won back-to-back races at Darlington and Richmond a couple of weeks ago. Gragson has also raced well at Martinsville in the past three years where he has two top five finishes in two races. So far in 2021, Gragson has been excellent where he has two wins, 12 top five finishes, 19 top 10 finishes and has led 207 laps. The only slight draw back to Gragson this week is his starting position of ninth, which can have pros and cons. He is in line to potentially get into the top five and contend in this race. I think the risk is warranted this week, and Gragson will be excellent.

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B-List Value Drivers

Jeb Burton ($8,600)

I mentioned earlier that I thought there was incredible value in this race, well here is one of the drivers who I think comes extremely cheap for how optimistic I am for their chances to race well this week. Jeb Burton has had an excellent 2021 season where he has one win, seven top-five finishes and 16 top 10 finishes. If you take out his 25th place finish at Atlanta 20th place finish at Darlington, and his 32nd place finish at Circuit of Americas his only blunders, he has an average finish this year of around 10th. Now if you want to include every race, you also get a very nice number, of around a top 12 finish. Talk about a great start to the year. Burton has really come into his own this year after finally becoming a full-time driver in the Xfinity Series. Burton is going to have plenty of opportunity to contend for another top-five finish.

Ryan Sieg ($7,600)

Driving the Number 39 for his family-owned RSS Racing, Ryan Sieg had his best season to date in 2020 where he had seven top five finishes, 11 top 10 finishes, and qualified for the playoffs in the meantime. So far in 2021 Sieg has not quite had as good of a season but he does have two top five finishes and seven top 10 finishes so far. If he can go on a hot streak this year, there is no reason why he cannot get close to his 2020 totals. Sieg will start 14th this weekend, which by itself makes him eligible for a lot of point differential points. Look at Sieg as a sleeper this week. A good starting position and a great price.

Brandon Brown ($7,000)

Before the start of this season Brandon Brown only had one top-five finish and seven top 10 finishes to his name on the Xfinity Series. Now after a hot start to the 2021 season Brown has matched his career performance in 31 races. So far, this year Brown has one-win at Talladega, three top-five finishes, and nine top 10 finishes. This may even be in the realm of a safe pick this week especially for his dollar value. He is driving well and could be in for a top 10 finish again this week. I don’t think you can go wrong with Brown in your lineup this week. Brown offers a lot of flexibility with his price tag and starting position of 17th.

C-List Sleeper Pick Drivers

Spencer Boyd ($4,700)

This will be Boyd’s ninth race of the year in the Xfinity Series. He has yet to get into the top five but has finished better then he started in all his races. Boyd is going to start this race in 39th and right at the back. The only place he can go is up and at his price point I think he is worth a shot this week. 

Now go win your matchup and let us know how you did.

Or if I picked every driver that will be in that lap 146 crash, I encourage you to let me hear it.

Either way come find us on Twitter (@FantasyDFSX).

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