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NFL Football DFS Advice

DFS NFL Wide Receiver Picks for Week 16

Robert Woods DFS
SANTA CLARA, CA - OCTOBER 18: Los Angeles Rams Wide Receiver Robert Woods (17) catches a touchdown pass during the NFL football game between the Los Angeles Rams and San Francisco 49ers on October 18, 2020 in Santa Clara, CA. (Photo by Bob Kupbens/Icon Sportswire)

The wide receiver position is where things could begin to get crazy. Unlike the running back position where there is a clear leader in each backfield, some teams could have three or four viable candidates each week. Of course, there are other teams that barely have any useful options at the position but you can go in multiple directions here. Do you spend up and take the true number one receiver? Or do you go for reliability in volume or touchdown and big-play upside?  

Ideally, you would look for a balance of each of those characteristics but how you chose to construct your roster at the other positions will play a role in what direction you ultimately go in. Looking for values, and you will see that some are available, is key here. This is in addition to the standard practices of reviewing past performance, looking at the game script, and digging into the opposing defence among other things. With respect to the opposing defence and one on one matchups against opposing cornerbacks, this is something that will come into clearer focus as the season progresses.  

For those who have yet to subscribe, what are you waiting for? Until then you will get one free pick to whet your appetite. Robert Woods ($7,000 DK, $7,300 FD) going against a weak Seahawks pass defence is your best bet to have a big game. He typically sees around 10 targets per game, and that should be worth 100 yards or more, and Woods gets a rush or two each week, which he proved last week he can make good with, having a 40-yard run.

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With the Browns taking on the Jets this week you should look for at least one Brown to get into your lineup. Rashard Higgins ($4,800 DK, $5,800 FD) is that guy this week. He is priced in a way that makes him easy to stack with Baker Mayfield this week, and he is also the receiver that is most likely to have a big day on the Browns in my opinion. He has seen an average of eight targets per game over the last three weeks and has a touchdown in two of those three games. When you’re looking for value receivers to get into your lineup this week, don’t forget about Higgins.

Allen Robinson ($7,700 DK, $7,500 FD) could see high ownership this week, with the Bears taking on the woeful Jaguars. For me, that makes Robinson a cash-game play. He has seen an average of ten targets per game in the last four games, and three touchdowns. With the Jaguars giving up 11.8 yards per reception, we could see big numbers from Robinson this week, the only concern with Robinson at this price point, is will the Jaguars keep it close enough for the Bears to put the ball in the air later in the game.

Tyreek Hill ($9,000 DK, $9,400 FD) is the most expensive receiver on the slate this week, and that makes me feel a little uncomfortable. While the ceiling is high for Hill, the consistency isn’t. Outside of a stretch of three games where he was over 100 yards receiving, he has been under that mark every other week. While the upside is there, and that warrants a GPP play, if you’re playing in volume, I can’t recommend him at his price this week.

With the Texans taking on the Bengals this week, I look for Brandin Cooks ($6,200 DK, $7,000 FD) to have himself a day. Cooks has typically been a big play, player. His yard per catch is typically over 10, Cooks has been unlucky with just three touchdowns on the year, but this could be the game where he gets a couple of scores and has a big day for the Texans, and he makes a good stack to go along with DeShaun Watson.

When you think of the Falcons passing offence Russell Gage ($5,100 DK, $5,800 FD) likely isn’t the first player that comes to mind. However, over the last three weeks, he has seen eight targets per game on average for the Falcons and has contributed to a touchdown in each of those three games. I look for the Falcons to play this game from behind, so there should be lots of passes out there for Gage to catch.

So, what did you think?

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