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NFL Football DFS Advice

DFS NFL Quarterback Picks for Week 13 – 2021

Justin Herbert
TAMPA, FL - OCTOBER 04: Justin Herbert (10) of the Chargers looks to throw a pass to his left side during the regular season game between the Los Angeles Chargers and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on October 04, 2020 at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida. (Photo by Cliff Welch/Icon Sportswire)

I hope everyone had a great Thanksgiving last week as we head into the Sunday slate for Week 13. So, let’s take a look at this week’s best picks at quarterback to help you win some cash for Week 13 and who to stay away from.  

Lamar Jackson – ($7,800 DK, $8,500 FD) – Lamar loves playing the Steelers, and this week he gets his wish. The Steelers ranked 17th in giving up fantasy points to quarterbacks. Lamar has destroyed this scenario as he has averaged 26.03 fantasy points per game and has been 88 percent consistent in those games on the road versus an average defense. He’s a must-start this week!

Justin Herbert – BEWARE – ($6,700 DK, $8,200 FD) –  Herbert hasn’t been the most consistent quarterback so far this season with a 64 percent overall consistency rating. This week isn’t looking much better for him as they play the Bengals on the road. The Bengals rank seventh in giving up the fewest fantasy points to quarterbacks so far this year. Herbert has struggled on the road versus a good defense by only averaging 21.75 fantasy points per game and has been only 50 percent consistent in those games.

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Best Value QB – Derek Carr – ($6,000 DK, $7,500 FD) – Derek Carr has quietly been very consistent recently with a 67 percent consistency over the past three weeks. He has a great matchup this week at home versus Washington. The WFT ranks DEAD LAST in giving up fantasy points to quarterbacks this season. Carr has averaged 25.60 fantasy points per game and has been 100 percent consistent when playing at home versus a bad defense. He’s a great bargain this week!

Best Mid-Value QB – Tom Brady – ($7,200 DK, $8,100 FD) – Ok, so Brady isn’t real cheap but his value is off the charts this week playing on the road versus the Falcons. The Falcons rank 28th in giving up fantasy points to quarterbacks and Brady embarrassed the Falcons in Week 2 with 29.64 fantasy points. He’s worth fitting into your lineup this week.

BEWARE – QB – Kyler Murray – ($7,500 DK, $8,300 FD) – Murray has missed several weeks and is due to come back this week versus the Bears in Chicago. However, first off, IF Murray even plays, there are a few strikes against him. One, outside in Chicago in December is a terrible place to return from an injury. Second, the Bears defense is pretty decent and Murray is only 50 percent consistent in those games on the road versus a good defense. I’ll pass on Murray for this week.

Overall, this week we are seeing some potentially huge values but a few people to stay away from that we normally give a full endorsement.

Bob Lung is a professional fantasy football writer who runs the fantasy football expo in Canton, Ohio every summer. He writes his Consistency Articles and also contributes to Dr. Roto’s new DFS site.

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