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MLB Baseball DFS Advice

DFS MLB Baseball Picks for June 7, 2021

Fernando Tatis Jr
SAN FRANCISCO, CA - SEPTEMBER 27: San Diego Padres shortstop Fernando Tatis Jr (23) during the Major League Baseball game between the San Diego Padres and the San Francisco Giants on September 27, 2020 at Oracle Park in San Francisco, CA. (Photo by Cody Glenn/Icon Sportswire)

We’ve got a teeny weeny two-game slate for Monday. Crazy. The Royals are my favorite stack and I’m essentially building around that. CHC and SD are projected for fewer than four runs while KC and LAA are at 4.1 and 4.5 respectively.

                 
All clear on the weather front. 

Here’s our 50-50 MLB DFS lineup for 6/7/21 (using DraftKings Values)

 PitcherAdbert Alzolay $8,800
 Pitcher   
 CatcherSalvador Perez $4,900
 First BaseCarlos Santana $4,100
 Second Base   
 Third Base   
 Short StopFernando Tatis Jr. $5,600
 OutfieldAndrew Benintendi $3,600
 Outfield   
 Outfield   
  
  

Salary Remaining          $300

Adbert Alzolay ($8,800)

I’m not crazy about any of the pitching options so I defaulted to Alzolay because he has the lowest FIP and the highest swinging strike rate at 12 percent. The Padres are 29th in strikeouts against right-handed pitching so you understand the conundrum, right? That said, San Diego is only 19th in ISO. Alzolay has gone over 20 DKFP in each of the last three games and just faced the Padres in his last outing, pitching five innings, allowing one earned run, and striking out seven. 

Salvador Perez ($4,900)

We are attacking Dylan Bundy and the Angels bullpen today. Bundy has a 5.11 FIP and has allowed 12 home runs in 51.1 innings. He’s been generous to both righties and lefties. He’s still missing bats and can rack up strikeouts, but he’s just off right now. As for the Angels bullpen, they have the fifth-highest FIP and eight-highest HR/9 allowed. Perez has 14 home runs on the season with a .279/.306/.521 slash. He bats cleanup for the Royals.

Carlos Santana ($4,100)

Santana bats second for Kansas City. The walk rate is spectacular as usual for Santana at 18.1 percent while the strikeout rate is only 14.7 percent. He has 10 home runs and two stolen bases on the season. The ISO is a respectable .180. Although he hits for a better average against left-handed pitching, the power is great against righties.

Fernando Tatis Jr. ($5,600)

Tatis is one of the best hitters in MLB. He has 17 home runs and 13 stolen bases on the season. The ISO is a whopping .397 and the slash is .298/.379/.695. Matchups do not matter because he can break the slate against anyone. 

Andrew Benintendi ($3,600)

Benintendi bats third for the Royals. The ISO is only .135 but he has six home runs and seven stolen bases on the season. He’s scored 27 runs and driven in 28. The slash is .295/.352/.430. The BABIP is .340 so some regression will hit but the bounce back season is legit.

Now what do you get if you sign up now?
• Seven days free trial to read every and ALL of our content. 
• Full lineup support for the 50-50 lineup above
• A more risky full lineup for a GPP. 
• A number of alternative picks that you mix in for some variations on your core lineups.

Here’s our full 50-50 MLB DFS lineup for 6/7/21 (using DraftKings Values)

 PitcherAdbert Alzolay $8,800
 PitcherJackson Kowar $6,000
 CatcherSalvador Perez $4,900
 First BaseCarlos Santana $4,100
 Second BaseWhit Merrifield $5,200
 Third BaseHunter Dozier $3,100
 Short StopFernando Tatis Jr. $5,600
 OutfieldAndrew Benintendi $3,600
 OutfieldKris Bryant $5,100
 OutfieldJurickson Profar $3,300
  
  

Salary Remaining          $300

Jackson Kowar ($6,000)

Kowar is one of the top pitching prospects in the Royals system. The fastball can get into the upper 90s but it’s the change up that is his deadly pitch. In 31.2 Triple-A innings this season, the K/9 is 11.65 and he has not allowed a home run. The Angels are 14th in strikeouts and 9th in ISO against right-handed pitching, but the price is cheap and I’m banking on the unfamiliarity to play here.

Whit Merrifield ($5,200)

Merrifield bats leadoff for the Royals. The strikeout rate is a ridiculously low 9.9 percent. The ISO is only .130 but he does have five home runs and a whopping 17 stolen bases. The slash is .264/.321/.394. He has also scored 37 runs and driven in 35.

Hunter Dozier ($3,100)

The final piece to the Royals stack. The strikeout rate is high at 31.2 percent but Dozier has a .208 ISO and seven home runs with one stolen base on the season. The slash is a poor .146/.217/.354, but the BABIP is only .159 so some good times should be in the offering.

Kris Bryant ($5,100)

Like Benintendi, the bounce back season is real after a poor 2020. The BABIP is elevated at .358 which is fueling a .310/.390/.595 slash but the walk rate is 10.5 percent while the strikeout rate is at 22.4 percent. Bryant has 13 home runs and three stolen bases on the season. He’s crushed lefties this season but has been more than respectable against righties. Seven of the 13 home runs have been against lefties and the slash is .408/.482/.939 with a .531 ISO against them. Ryan Weathers has a 5.36 FIP against righties and the HR/9 is 1.75. 

Jurickson Profar ($3,300)

Profar is the last piece to the puzzle. He’s not a huge power threat and bats low in the order but he does have nine stolen bases on the season. In addition, while the ISO is only .063, he’s a career .150 ISO batter so there’s a greater than Lloyd Christmas chance of bopping one out.

Alternative Moves…

Shohei Ohtani – OF ($5,500 DK) – Ohtani is just a ridiculous player. He’s elite as both a pitcher and a hitter. Insane. The strikeout rate is high at 29.8 percent but the ISO is a ridiculous .335. He has 16 home runs and seven stolen bases on the season. 

Dylan Bundy – P ($7,100 DK)

If going to Bundy, then I’d pivot from the Royals stack to the Cubs one. I initially had Weathers here but the swinging strike and K/9 are too low, he gets crushed by righties, and he hasn’t gone deep in any game this season. At least Bundy has a 11.2 percent strikeout rate with 53 strikeouts in 51.1 innings. The ceiling is high and there’s a chance he turns it around.

Go win your lineup and tell us how you did. Twitter (@FantasyDFSX) is a good place for that.

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