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MLB Baseball DFS Advice

DFS MLB Baseball Picks for June 11, 2021

Jacob deGrom DFS
WEST PALM BEACH, FL - MARCH 21: New York Mets pitcher Jacob deGrom (48) throws the ball from the mound during an MLB spring training game between the New York Mets and the Washington Nationals at The Ballpark of The Palm Beaches on March 21, 2021 in West Palm Beach, Florida. (Photo by Doug Murray/Icon Sportswire)

We’ve got a 13-game slate for Friday with pitching, pitching, and more pitching. There are a ton of studs going today so it makes lineup construction especially interesting for GPPs. I love the White Sox stack today but they are so expensive. There are two mid-tier pitchers that I actually like, so I could fit it in, but I’ve decided to take the “guaranteed” points from deGrom. TEX, KC, DET, ATL, MIA, BAL, COL, SEA, SF, and NYM are projected for fewer than four runs. CIN, BOS, HOU, MIN, and LAD are projected for at least five runs. PIT and SD are projected for fewer than three runs. HOU is projected for a whopping 6.1 runs. That’s the highest I’ve seen all season. 

The SF/WAS game was postponed yesterday and there’s a chance it gets rained out again, as there is heavy rain forecasted again.

Here’s our 50-50 MLB DFS lineup for 6/11/21 (using DraftKings Values)

 PitcherJacob deGrom $11,300
 Pitcher   
 CatcherYasmani Grandal $4,500
 First BaseMitch Moreland $3,400
 Second Base   
 Third Base   
 Short StopGavin Lux $3,600
 OutfieldKyle Tucker $3,700
 Outfield   
 Outfield   
  
  

Salary Remaining          $000

Jacob deGrom ($11,300)

He’s THE best pitcher in the game. I don’t need to write his numbers. I mentioned the “guaranteed” points from deGrom in the opening. Obviously nothing is guaranteed in life but in nine starts this season, deGrom has scored at least 22 DKFP in each one with two of those over 40 and a high of 58.1. He faces a Padres team that is a tough matchup on paper as they are 29th in strikeouts against right-handed pitching, but matchups don’t concern deGrom. He just faced the Padres last start and put up 39.4 DKFP.

Yasmani Grandal ($4,500)

I love the White Sox stack against Tarik Skubal and the Tigers bullpen today. Skubal is a lefty who has allowed 12 home runs to righties. He does miss bats so this is not a slam dunk by any means, but the FIP is 5.91 against righties. Grandal has more power against righties but the slash is .261/.537/.391 against lefties.

Mitch Moreland ($3,400)

Moreland will likely bat cleanup for the Athletics against Brady Singer. The slash is .256/.313/.389 with a .133 ISO against right-handed pitching. Singer has allowed all four home runs to lefties and has a 4.36 FIP against them.

Gavin Lux ($3,600)

Lux bats sixth in the order so that’s kind of a bummer but we are strapped for cash. Against right-handed pitching, he has five home runs and a .260/.305/.435 slash with a .176 ISO. Mike Foltynewicz has allowed eight of 13 home runs to lefties and the slash is .318/.378/.617 against them. The FIP is 7.26 and the strikeout rate is only 12.6 percent.

Kyle Tucker ($3,700)

Tucker will likely bat seventh in the order but he has a power/speed combo and the Astros are projected for 6.1 runs. Against righties, the slash is .285/.359/.515 with a .231 ISO. Matt Shoemaker is #notgood and has allowed a .317/.402/.545 slash to lefties. The Twins bullpen also has the fifth-highest FIP in the league. 

Now what do you get if you sign up now?
• Seven days free trial to read every and ALL of our content. 
• Full lineup support for the 50-50 lineup above
• A more risky full lineup for a GPP.
 • A number of alternative picks that you mix in for some variations on your core lineups.

Here’s our full 50-50 MLB DFS lineup for 6/11/21 (using DraftKings Values)

 PitcherJacob deGrom $11,300
 PitcherTyler Mahle $7,900
 CatcherYasmani Grandal $4,500
 First BaseMitch Moreland $3,400
 Second BaseJonathan India $4,200
 Third BaseEugenio Suarez $4,500
 Short StopGavin Lux $3,600
 OutfieldKyle Tucker $3,700
 OutfieldAndrew Vaughn $3,600
 OutfieldRyan Mountcastle $3,300
  
  

Salary Remaining          $000

Tyler Mahle ($7,900)

Mahle has been sneaky good this season. The FIP is 3.35 and the K/9 is 10.4. There’s been some volatility to his game as he has a -10.9 and 3.9 DKFP games on the season. That said, he’s gone over 30 two times and, in the last two games, he’s put up 28.2 and 30.1 DKFP. Now he gets to face a Rockies team that is inept away from Coors Field.

Jonathan India ($4,200)

The Reds are projected for 5.7 runs and India bats lead off. He has five home runs and three stolen bases on the season. The walk rate is 11.1 percent while the strikeout rate is 20 percent. The slash is .257/.369/.412 with a .155 ISO. Now he gets to face Kyle Freeland who has a 6.37 FIP, 7.1 percent swinging strike rate, 4.85 K/9, and 5.54 BB/9. In his career against righties, Freeland has a 15.1 percent strikeout rate and allowed a 4.87 FIP.

Eugenio Suarez ($4,500)

Suarez has struggled against left-handed pitching so far this season, but throughout his career, the slash has been .266/.367/.499 with a .232 ISO. He’s going to get it going at some point. Why not today? 

Andrew Vaughn ($3,600)

Vaughn will likely bat seventh in the order but he’s crushed left-handed pitching. The slash is .292/.404/.708 with a .417 ISO. Granted, it’s only been 57 plate appearances but the numbers are impressive nonetheless. I told you I like the White Sox stack.

Ryan Mountcastle ($3,300)

Mountcastle bats cleanup for the Orioles and has been on quite the heater. He’s notched at least one hit in eight straight games and has four home runs over that span. Against left-handed pitching, the slash is .339/.354/.576 with a .237 ISO. Ryan Yarbrough has struggled a bit against righties as he’s allowed nine home runs while the K/9 is only 6.54.

Alternative Moves…

Seth Brown – OF ($3,200 DK) – Brown strikes out a lot but he mashes right-handed pitching. The ISO is .222 and he has seven home runs. He will likely bat sixth in the order and face Brady Singer.

Brandon Woodruff – P ($10,400 DK)        

Woodruff is so freaking good. The swinging strike rate is 12.8 percent and the FIP is 2.2. Now, the Pirates are only 24th in strikeouts against right-handed pitching but they are dead-last in ISO. 

Go win your lineup and tell us how you did. Twitter (@FantasyDFSX) is a good place for that.

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