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MLB Baseball DFS Advice

DFS MLB Baseball Picks for July 24, 2021

Carlos Correa of the Houston Astros
CLEVELAND, OH - JULY 03: Houston Astros shortstop Carlos Correa (1) gestures towards the stands after hitting a home run during the fourth inning of the Major League Baseball game between the Houston Astros and Cleveland Indians on July 3, 2021, at Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH. (Photo by Frank Jansky/Icon Sportswire)

We have ten games tonight with the first pitch at 7:10 PM EST. Today’s slate of games is highlighted by Joey Gallo and the Texas Rangers, taking on Jose Altuve and the Houston Astros in Houston. The highest implied run totals tonight sit with the Tampa Bay Rays (5.6), Cincinnati Reds (5.5) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (5.2).

The weather for today’s games looks good across the board without a single game having a chance of rain above 10 percent.

Here is a selection of today’s Core Players 50-50 MLB DFS lineup for 7/24/21 (using DraftKings Values)

 PitcherFramber Valdez $9,200
 Pitcher   
 CatcherLuis Torrens $4,000
 First BaseYandy Diaz $5,200
 Second BaseJorge Polanco $5,200
 Third Base   
 Short StopCarlos Correa $4,800
 Outfield   
 Outfield   
 Outfield   

Framber Valdez  – P ($9,200) – A game against the struggling Rangers might be just what Valdez needs to get things back on track. He hasn’t been really good lately, but with how mad the Rangers have been it’s not a huge leap to expect a good start from Valdez at home.

Yandy Díaz – 1B ($5,200) – Díaz is a risk/reward type of player especially at this price. He has two home runs in his last five games, but in the other games, he doesn’t have a hit and has only walked once in that stretch as well. The part that makes him worth his value is his high placement in the Rays order paired with him facing a Cleveland starter who has an ERA over 7.5.

Jorge Polanco – 2B ($5,200) – Polanco has hits in three of his last five games, with three multi-hit games in that stretch. Those hits include two doubles, two home runs and he has two steals.

Luis Torrens – C ($4,000) – In his last five games Torrens has three home runs and at least a hit in each of the five games. We don’t often recommend paying up at catcher, but it’s hard to deny how well Torrens has been playing.

Carlos Correa – OF ($4,800) We don’t have a lot of great options at shortstop tonight, but Correa is a player who is known to get hot, and he will be facing a Texas starter in Kyle Gibson who looks to be starting to regress so this could be a solid play with lower ownership.

 

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The Pitchers

Tony Gonsolin ($8,000 DK) At this price, Gonsolin is a risk. He has only gone more than five innings once this season. He is facing a Rockies team that hasn’t been hitting well, and he is at home which helps, but if he can’t go at least five innings it’s almost impossible for him to hit value as he has no chance to get the win.

Corbin Burnes ($10,600) – Burnes is coming off a masterful start in Cincinnati where he went 8.1 innings and struck out twelve. He hasn’t given up more than one run in any of his last four starts. The potential for a win is somewhat mitigated by facing a good team in the White Sox, but if he can bring the innings and the strikeouts then he will be valuable.

Jake Woodford ($5,900) – Woodford’s first start for the Cardinals was a success. He went 5.2 innings and struck out six against the Cubs. He will get another good matchup today going against the Reds who have a team that has a batting average of 0.239 and an SLG of 0.362 over the last week.

The Value Players

Hunter Dozier – 3B ($3,500) – Dozier has hits in six of his last seven games with a triple and two doubles in his last five games. He will be facing a streaking Detroit team, but the Tigers pitching isn’t great so there is lots of potential for Dozier at a value price.

Kyle Tucker – OF ($3,900) – This is one heck of a price for a player how has hit a home run in three straight games, and has hits in each of his last four games.

Bryan Reynolds – OF ($3,600) – All Reynolds does is hit. He has at least a hit in five straight games, with three of those games being of the multi-hit variety. The Pirates are often a team that gets forgotten, but Reynolds is underpriced today.

The Stacks

Las Angeles Dodgers – If you want to stack the Dodgers tonight, you will have to be creative as they have six players over 5k. You will want to look at players like Billy McKinney, who hit in the two spot last night, and AJ Pollock who was hitting sixth for them, so that you can try to get Will Smith, Justin Turner or Cody Bellinger into your lineup.

Houston Astros – The Astros are among the higher expected run total teams again today, and if you believe in the Kyle Gibson regression, then an Astros stack could be a real difference-maker for you. You can use Brantley, and Gurriel to try and save some budget, to add to Correa as they will both hit in the middle of the lineup.

San Francisco Giants – The Giants really don’t get the love, but you can do much worse than Buster Posey, Brandon Crawford, Mike Yastrzemski and LaMonte Wade Jr. All four guys are hitting, and you will get Wade and Yastrzemski for very reasonable prices. You won’t get a bunch of home runs but they can do enough to exceed their value especially against a week Pirates team. Don’t forget the Giants have scored the 3rd most runs in the NL so far this season.

Go win your lineup and tell us how you did. Twitter (@FantasyDFSX) is a good place for that.

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