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MLB Baseball DFS Advice

DFS MLB Baseball Picks for July 20, 2021

Bryce Harper
PHILADELPHIA, PA - APRIL 01: Philadelphia Phillies right fielder Bryce Harper (3) hits the ball during the Major League Baseball game between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Atlanta Braves on April 1, 2021 at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA. (Photo by Rich Graessle/Icon Sportswire)

We have thirteen games tonight with the first pitch at 7:05 PM EST. Today’s slate of games is highlighted by Bryce Harper and the Philadelphia Phillies, taking on Aaron Judge and the New York Yankees in New York. The highest implied run totals tonight sit with the Colorado Rockies (6.5), Toronto Blue Jays (6.2), and the Cincinnati Reds(5.8).

We have a risk of rain again today in Atlanta, which could cause Atlanta and San Diego to be delayed or postponed again, we also have some weather risk in Buffalo that would affect Toronto and Boston in their game. Both have a chance of rain in the 30-40 percent range.

Here is a selection of today’s Core Players 50-50 MLB DFS lineup for 7/20/21 (using DraftKings Values)

 PitcherTarik Skubal $7,700
 Pitcher   
 Catcher   
 First Base   
 Second BaseJonathan India $4,000
 Third BaseKyle Seager $4,000
 Short Stop   
 OutfieldBryce Harper $5,400
 OutfieldAustin Meadows $4,000
 Outfield   

Tarik Skubal  – P ($9,000) – The Rangers are among the worst teams in the league at hitting left-handed pitching over the last two weeks. They have a batting average of just 0.178 and an SLG of 0.248. Skubal also has the advantage of pitching at home in a relatively pitcher-friendly park and he has been striking out 27 percent of the batters he has faced this year.

Jonathan India – 2B ($4,000) – India continues to hit for the Reds. He has a double and a home run in these last three games, and with the Reds having a high implied run total today, getting their lead-off hitter isn’t likely to hurt you.

Kyle Seager – 3B ($4,000) – It has been a lot of boom or bust for Seager this year. When he is getting a hit recently it has been a home run. Given he is playing in Colorado night, this trend could very well continue.

Bryce Harper – OF ($5,400) – Paying Harper’s price tag can be a difficult decision as he is a player that is as happy to walk as he is to swing the bat at times. But coming into tonight, Harper has an extra-base hit in two of his last three games, and three of his last five. If you can continue to get that kind of production from him tonight you won’t be disappointed.

Austin Meadows – OF ($4,000) – Meadows is typically a player who is priced closer to 5k, so seeing him this low feels like you’re getting a discount. With the Rays facing the Orioles tonight, and a pitcher fresh off the IL who likely won’t go deep into the game, I look for Meadows to start to turn things around.

 

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The Pitchers

Tristan McKenzie ($8,700 DK) McKenzie has struck out 19 batters over his last two starts and he is starting to go deeper into games, with him going seven innings in his last start. If he can get to six innings tonight, he will have enough strikeouts to exceed his value tonight.

Yu Darvish ($9,800) – Darvish will come off the injury list tonight to face a Braves lineup, that seems to be missing Acuña right now. If Darvish can keep the ball in the park, he is typically not giving up a lot of runs and he is capable of striking out ten or more batters which gives him some nice upside.

Germán Marquez ($8,100) – Marquez hasn’t given up more than two runs in any of his last five starts. While the common thought is to never start a pitcher in Colorado, Marquez has been consistently better at home, as his opponents hit below 0.200 against him at Coors Field.

The Value Players

Tyler Stephenson – C ($3,400) With Stephenson, hitting in the middle of the Reds order, it’s hard to deny his value at catcher. He has hits in four of his last five starts, and in three of those starts, he has multiple hits.  

Ty France – 1B ($3,200) – France has three straight multi-hit games heading into tonight’s game in Colorado. This is a great price for a player on this kind of streak hitting at Coors Field.

Bradley Zimmer – OF ($2,200) – Coming into tonight, Zimmer might be the best value in DFS. He had two home runs in his last four games, and two steals in his last five games. If you can get a steal or a home run you will greatly exceed his value, and if you only get a hit and an RBI or a run you will still be at value.

The Stacks

Cincinnati Reds – The Reds at home are a dangerous team. They have lots of pop in their lineup to put up big runs against anyone. You should be able to get a combination of India, Winker, Castellanos and Stephenson into your lineup without too much trouble and that will give you a good portion of the top/middle of their lineup.

Toronto Blue Jays – The Blue Jays are probably the toughest teams to stack. At best you can get one of Vlad, Semien or Bichette, and then mix them in with some of the lower cost players, but the other way you can go that will work much easier is taking the middle of their order, with Springer, Grichuk and Teoscar Hernandez, which is expensive, but won’t break the bank. They didn’t score as expected yesterday, but I wouldn’t be concerned about going back to them today again as they have been one of the top scoring teams in the league all year.

St. Louis Cardinals – We are going to go back to the well today with the Cardinals today. They scored eight runs last night, and are in a good position to put up lots of runs again today. Goldschmidt continues to be the primary target, but we are seeing great value from Dylan Carlson, and Tyler O’Neill has good power potential.

Go win your lineup and tell us how you did. Twitter (@FantasyDFSX) is a good place for that.

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