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MLB Baseball DFS Advice

DFS MLB Baseball Picks for April 24, 2021

Blake Snell
ST. PETERSBURG, FL - SEPTEMBER 05: Tampa Bay Rays starting pitcher Blake Snell (4) delivers a pitch during the MLB game between the Miami Marlins and Tampa Bay Rays on September 05, 2020 at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL. (Photo by Mark LoMoglio/Icon Sportswire)

We have a six-game slate with first pitches at 7:05 EST. All eyes will be on the San Diego Padres at the Los Angeles Dodgers today with Blake Snell facing Trevor Bauer. There isn’t a lot of great pitching to be found so we will be looking ot pay up for some of the higher-priced bats.

We are likely to see rain in both Atlanta and Baltimore, with Atlanta being the bigger issue at the moment, as that game could be cancelled, so keep an eye on the weather there throughout the day. In Baltimore, the rain isn’t expected until 9pm EST and later so they could complete the game, but it is still worth watching.

Here’s our 50-50 MLB DFS lineup for 4/16/21 (using DraftKings Values)

 PitcherBlake Snell $9,400
 CatcherSean Murphy $4,100
 First BaseC.J. Cron $4,400
 Second Base   
 Third Base   
 Short StopFreddy Galvis $3,700
 OutfieldBryce Harper $6,000

Salary Remaining          $100

Blake Snell ($9,400)

Snell comes into today’s game striking out nearly 35 percent of the batters he has faced. You might look at his ERA, and be scared away from it against the lauded Dodgers, but his FIP and xFIP show that he has been unlucky and should likely have an ERA closer to 3. I’m not expecting a high scoring game today with Vegas having both the Padres and the Dodgers with an implied runs total below 4.

Sean Murphy($4,100)

While I don’t love paying over 4k for catchers, the options really aren’t great below that mark. In Murphy’s favor though is his 0.500 SLG over the last 7 days, and a very hitter friendly ballpark in Baltimore.

C.J. Cron ($4,400)

If this game was in Philadelphia, I would likely not be picking Cron against Aaron Nola, but in Colorado, it’s a different story. Altitude is known for deafening breaking balls, and Nola is known for his curve. Cron has big power, and if we see some breaking balls that don’t break they could easily find themselves in the stands.

Freddy Galvis ($3,700)

One of the great parts about playing DFS, is that you can take a guy like Freddy Galvis that you likely wouldn’t want on your team and turn it into gold. Galvis has multi-hit games in half the games he played this week, to go along with three doubles, a triple and a home run.

Bryce Harper ($6,000)

There is a very good chance that Harper is the most owned hitter on tonight’s slate, and in cash games, that isn’t such a bad thing. Harper has been crushing the ball all week, and if he continues to do that tonight, you won’t want to be on the wrong side of the chalk when half the field wins.

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Here’s our full 50-50 MLB DFS lineup for 4/16/21 (using DraftKings Values)

 PitcherBlake Snell $9,400
 PitcherPablo Lopez $6,900
 CatcherSean Murphy $4,100
 First BaseC.J. Cron $4,100
 Second BaseNick Solak $4,700
 Third BaseAlec Bohm $3,800
 Short StopFreddy Galvis $3,700
 OutfieldBryce Harper $6,000
 OutfieldRaimel Tapia $3,000
 OutfieldAndrew McCutchen $4,200

Salary Remaining          $100

Pablo Lopez ($6,900)

Another weekend, another Pablo Lopez pick. Last weekend he gave up one run and struck out the Giants nine times. Today he will face the same Giants team, and this time in the cozy confines of Oracle Park.

Nick Solak ($4,700)

For his career Solak has hit for a 0.312 average, and five home runs in just 70 at bats against left-handed pitching. Today, Solak will get to face Dallas Keuchel who hasn’t been a good left-handed pitcher in a few years, and will be in a good hitters ballpark at Guaranteed Rate Field. This is a good matchup to payup for Solak.

Alec Bohm ($3,800)

While Bohm is yet to live up to the hype that followed him into the season, he hasn’t exactly been bad either. At this price, and at Coors Field, he is worth a shot to see if he can’t break out and have a big game.

Raimel Tapia ($3,000)

Tapia has hits in five straight games, with two home runs(one of them last night), and a double. That is a lot of production for a player who 

Andrew McCutchen ($4,200)

While Cutch’s hitting hasn’t been great this year, he does still get on base nearly 30 percent of the time, and well I think we have talked about trips to Coors field a lot today, but it certainly helps his value, as does his leadoff spot in the lineup.

Alternative Moves…

Marcell Ozuna – OF ($5,200 DK) Last year, Ozuna ate left-handed pitching for lunch, maybe even breakfast too, with a SLG of 0.867, and a 0.356 batting average. He will be facing Madison Bumgarner today who has an ERA nearly at 9, but as previously noted, be mindful of the rain situation.

Trevor Bauer– P ($11,000 DK)

As the more expensive half of an expected pitcher’s duel, Bauer carries a solid strikeout rate, and has transitioned to playing for the Dodgers better than I would of expected. If you want to go with him instead of Snell, I don’t have a good reason to tell you not to, other than its hard to hit value at 11k, but as we saw with DeGrom last night, it does happen.

Go win your lineup and tell us how you did. Twitter (@FantasyDFSX) is a good place for that.

So, what did you think?

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