As we head into Michigan Race Week, we will have to look at drivers’ stats and history from this course and other similar courses as we build our lineup this week. This week we are going to focus on finding value by looking at previous top contenders at road races the past couple of years. There are quite a few value drivers that you can insert into your lineup. Let’s now take a deep dive into who I think you can insert into your lineup for the New Holland 250 at Michigan International Speedway.
Past Winners/Track Knowledge
It’s time for the NASCARs Xfinity Series to take their best shot winning at Michigan International Speedway. The Xfinity Series did not race at Michigan last year, so the most recent winner is Tyler Reddick who won here in 2019. This will be a 250-mile race where the drivers will be tasked with completing 125 laps around the Speedway. Michigan International Speedway is a 2.0-mile Speedway, with an asphalt surface. This racecourse is home to 4 turns that will push drivers to the limit. The best part about Michigan is that each turn has its own set of challenges that the drivers must overcome. As stage points are becoming more coveted as the year goes on and racers, must win stages to get those oh so valuable stage points, racers will have three stages to try and get points. Stage one is 30 laps, stage two is 30 laps, and stage three is 65 laps. With Michigan being a tricky track with a history there is a lot of data to sift through as we build out winning lineup.
Below is a lineup that we believe can provide the best value for the New Holland 250 at Michigan International Speedway on 08/21/2021 (DraftKings Values)
| Driver #1 | Tyler Reddick | $ 10,500 | |
| Driver #2 | Justin Allgaier | $ 10,200 | |
| Driver #3 | $ | ||
| Driver #4 | $ | ||
| Driver #5 | $ | ||
| Driver #6 | $ |
A-List Premium Price Drivers
Tyler Reddick ($10,500)
Tyler Reddick moved up to the Cup Series in 2020 and had a great rookie season with three top-five finishes and nine top 10 finishes. I have been enjoying everything I have seen from Reddick since he burst onto the scene in 2018 and 2019 winning eight races in the Xfinity Series while also being back-to-back champion those two years. For me, anytime I see Reddick at a good price point I am going to insert him into my lineup, especially in the Xfinity Series where he is averaging 50.8 fantasy points per race. I think Reddick provides a lot of value for his high price point.
Justin Allgaier ($10,200)
Of all the top tier, high priced drivers this week, I like Justin Allgaier a lot. Not only because I think he can win, but also because of how he has driven this year. At Michigan in 2019 Allgaier finished fifth after starting 12th Coming into this race you know that he will be out to win this one. Allgaier comes into this race with two wins already in the 2021 season at Atlanta Motor Speedway and Darlington Raceway, both being intermediate tracks. After a bit of a rocky start to the season, Allgaier really turned it around at Atlanta and Darlington. Look for a similar performance for Allgaier Saturday night.
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Brandon Jones ($9,400)
Brandon Jones has seen his value drop over the last few weeks, but for me I see this as an advantage and some really good value, the guy can drive, and he has shown it all year. Jones is currently tied for fifth with seven top five finishes on the season where he currently sits in ninth place in the standings. Jones does have five races where he didn’t finish. In races that he has finished this year, Jones has been top five in 46 percent of them. Jones has been oh, so close three times this year when he finished second at Homestead Miami, third at Las Vegas, and third at Darlington. I think, with his starting position of 24st, Jones can easily make his way into the top 10 or better, which would lead to a big day DFS wise. Take Jones’ good value this week and run with it.
B-List Value Drivers
Jeb Burton ($7,700)
I mentioned earlier that I thought there was incredible value in this race, well here is one of the drivers who I think comes extremely cheap for how optimistic I am for their chances to race well this week. Jeb Burton has had an excellent start to the 2021 season where he has one win, five top-five finishes and 12 top 10 finishes. If you take out his 25th place finish at Atlanta 20th place finish at Darlington, and his 32nd place finish at Circuit of Americas his only blunders, he has an average finish this year of around eighth. Now if you want to include every race, you also get a very nice number, of around a top 10 finish. Talk about a great start to the year. Burton has really come into his own this year after finally becoming a full-time driver in the Xfinity Series. Burton is going to have plenty of opportunity to contend for another top-five finish.
C-List Sleeper Pick Drivers
Colin Garrett ($6,000)
This will be Garrett’s second race of the 2021 season and ninth of his career. The 21-year-old driver has yet to finish in the top 10 in his career, but did have an impressive race earlier this year at Talladega where he turned a 22nd lace start into a 15th place finish. In every race Garrett has had the past two years he has finished better then he started. Garrett is going to start this race in 29th and if he can get into the top 20, he will be in for a good day DFS wise.
Caesar Bacarella ($5,400)
Here is another driver who hasn’t had a steady career yet but has had a decent start to the season. So far in 2021, Bacarella has raced twice where he has started 38th at Daytona and finished 12th and started 28th while finishing 38th at Talladega. On the season Bacarella has 25.2 fantasy points per race. He will start this race in 38th and he can only go up from there. I expect this driver to put in a solid effort and get at least close to a top 20 finish where he can be a diamond in the rough for your fantasy team.
Now go win your matchup and let us know how you did.
Or if I picked every driver that will be in that lap 98 crash, I encourage you to let me hear it.
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