NASCAR DFS Picks for the Tennessee Lottery 250 on June 19, 2021

As we head into Nashville Race Week, we will have to look at drivers’ stats and history from other courses as we build our lineup this week. Another great part about this weekend is we are back to practice and qualifying. This week we are going to focus on finding value by looking at previous top contenders at this speedway. There are quite a few value drivers that you can insert into your lineup. Let’s now take a deep dive into who I think you can insert into your lineup for the Tennessee Lottery 250 at Nashville Superspeedway.

Past Winners/Track Knowledge

This will be the first race NASCAR Xfinity Series in Middle Tennessee in over 10 years. This is going to be a 250-mile race where the drivers will be tasked with completing 188 laps around the Superspeedway. Nashville Superspeedway is a 1.33-mile oval, with a concrete surface. There are varying degrees of banking in each section of the superspeedway. The turns have 14-degree banking, nine degrees in the front straightaway, and six degrees in the back straightaway. As stage points are becoming more coveted as the year goes on and racers, must win stages to get those oh so valuable stage points, racers will have three stages to try and get points. Stage one is 45 laps, stage two is 50 laps, and stage three is 93 laps. With no real data on who has done well on this track in the past, with the large gap in competition we are going to have to look at how drivers have fared at other similar tracks. This is the longest oval, concrete track that will be raced on this year. 

Below is a lineup that we believe can provide the best value for the Tennessee Lottery 250 atNashville Superspeedway on 06/19/2021 (DraftKings Values)

A-List Drivers

Austin Cindric ($11,000)

As the top driver in the Xfinity Series, Austin Cindric is a no brainer every week if you can find a way to fit him into your lineup. This is one of those weeks where I am going to do it no matter what. Cindric has been excellent in 2021 where he has three wins, 10 top-five finishes, 11 top 10 finishes, and has led 445 laps. All his statistics this year are Xfinity Series highs. His worst finish this year is 30th five weeks ago at Darlington, but he did crash, so we will forget about that one for now. Cindric followed up his 30th place finish with a win at Dover and now has placed top five in four of his last five races. While finishing second to Ty Gibbs at Charlotte. At the end of the day there are not going to be many races this year where you can get Cindric cheap so you have to pick the weeks you want to use him in your lineup, this is one of those weeks. Cindric has dominated everywhere this year. Cindric is going to be moving up to the Cup Series next year, he has his sights set on loading up on Xfinity Series wins before he makes the jump. Cindric is the best driver with the best car, I say he wins this one and leads a ton of laps. If Cindric starts this race on the pole, he may never leave it. 

Tyler Reddick ($9,700)

Tyler Reddick moved up to the Cup Series in 2020 and had a great rookie season with three top-five finishes and nine top 10 finishes. I have been enjoying everything I have seen from Reddick since he burst onto the scene in 2018 and 2019 winning eight races in the Xfinity Series while also being back to back champion those two years. For me, anytime I see Reddick at a good price point I am going to insert him into my lineup, especially in the Xfinity Series where he is averaging 56 fantasy points per race. I think Reddick provides a lot of value for his middle to high of the pack price point.

Strategy at Nashville Superspeedway

Going into this race, I think what we are going to have to do it trust our gut. I am going to be picking drivers who have raced well this year and not so much factor in how they have fared at similar tracks. With that being said, I think the best option this week is to look at two A-List drivers and they build your lineup around them. This race will likely race similar Talladega (2.66-Mile Tri-Oval), Las Vegas (1.54-Mile Tri-Oval), Kansas (1.52-Mile Tri-Oval), or Daytona (2.50-Mile Tri-Oval). If you want to base your picks on any of these tracks, I think you have the right idea. There are a few drivers that excel on the so-called Superspeedways and that is where I will be spending my money this weekend. 

B-List Drivers

Justin Haley ($8,500)

2020 was by far Justin Haley’s best year yet. Haley finished 2020 with three wins, 10 top-five finishes, and 113 laps led. Haley’s dominance at Superspeedways last year was extremely evident, whereas he was more mediocre on intermediate tracks. Now as we are back at a Superspeedway this race seems to be right in Haley’s wheelhouse. I am excited about having Haley in my lineup this week. Haley offers front-line win potential and comes at a rather decent price point. I am a little shocked that Haley is not priced higher going into the Tennessee Lottery 250. Now to just put the icing on the cake, Haley’s one and only Cup Series win was at Daytona. Not many drivers can say that they have two wins apiece at the “Big One’s”.

Ryan Sieg ($7,600)

Driving the Number 39 for his family owned RSS Racing, Ryan Sieg had his best season to date in 2020 where he had seven top five finishes, 11 top 10 finishes, and qualified for the playoffs in the meantime. So far in 2021 Sieg has not quite had as good of a season but he does have one top five and six top 10 finishes so far. If he can go on a hot streak this year, there is no reason why he cannot get close to his 2020 totals. Sieg will likely start to the middle or rear of the pack to start this race, which by itself makes him eligible for a lot of point differential points. Look at Sieg as a sleeper this week. Good starting position and a great price.

C-List Drivers

Brandon Brown ($6,800)

Before the start of this season Brandon Brown only had one top-five finish and seven top 10 finishes to his name on the Xfinity Series. Now after a hot start to the 2021 season Brown has matched his career performance in 14 races. So far, this year Brown has two top-five finishes at Phoenix Raceway and Charlotte Motor Speedway. To go along with back to back top 10 finishes at the two Daytona tracks and seven top 10 finishes total. This may even be in the realm of a safe pick this week especially for his dollar value. He is driving well and could be in for a top-five finish again this week. I don’t think you can go wrong with Brown in your lineup this week. Brown offers a lot of flexibility with his price tag.

JJ Yeley ($6,700)

This week’s sleeper pick of the week is JJ Yeley. Yeley spent the 2020 season and most of the 2019 and 2018 seasons racing in the cup series. In two races in 2021 Yeley has turned in a 12th and 13th place finish, not bad considering he started 39th and 33rd respectively. For us fantasy folks that’s plus 27 and 20 place differential points.  Yeley will likely start this race near the end of the pack, if he can find the same success, he had earlier this year and gain 27 places that accounts to a lot of point differential points. 

Winning Alternative

Daniel Hemric ($9,300)

Driving the number 18 car for Joe Gibbs Racing has worked out well for Daniel Hemric so far in 2021. Hemric enters this race in third place in points with his six top five finishes, nine top 10 finishes and 323 laps led. Although Hemric has not won yet this year, he has been amongst the best in the Xfinity Series. Hemric’s best performances of the year have come at the Daytona Road Course where he finished third, Miami where he finished third, Las Vegas where he was the runner up, and Martinsville where he added another third-place finish. Picking Hemric to be in the top five has been as good as a bet as any other this year. I am picking Hemric to lead a boat load of laps this week.

Now go win your matchup and let us know how you did. Or if I picked every driver that will be in that lap 123 crash, I encourage you to let me hear it. Either way come find us on Twitter (@FantasyDFSX).